U.S. patent application number 14/062405 was filed with the patent office on 2014-05-08 for predicting or recommending a user's future location based on crowd data.
This patent application is currently assigned to WALDECK TECHNOLOGY, LLC. The applicant listed for this patent is WALDECK TECHNOLOGY, LLC. Invention is credited to Christopher M. Amidon, Steven L. Peterson.
Application Number | 20140129502 14/062405 |
Document ID | / |
Family ID | 45565580 |
Filed Date | 2014-05-08 |
United States Patent
Application |
20140129502 |
Kind Code |
A1 |
Peterson; Steven L. ; et
al. |
May 8, 2014 |
Predicting or recommending a user's future location based on crowd
data
Abstract
A system and method for predicting a future location of a user
are provided. In general, a prediction basis including crowd data
describing crowds in which a user was included during a number of
reoccurring time windows is generated. Each reoccurring time window
may be, for example, a day of the week (i.e., Monday, Tuesday,
Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, or Sunday), a portion of a
day of the week (e.g., Monday Morning, Monday Afternoon, Monday
Evening, Tuesday Evening, etc.), a day of the month (e.g., 1st day
of the month), a day of the year (e.g., March 25th), or the like.
The prediction basis of the user is then used to predict one or
more future locations of the user.
Inventors: |
Peterson; Steven L.; (Los
Gatos, CA) ; Amidon; Christopher M.; (Apex,
NC) |
|
Applicant: |
Name |
City |
State |
Country |
Type |
WALDECK TECHNOLOGY, LLC |
Wilmington |
DE |
US |
|
|
Assignee: |
WALDECK TECHNOLOGY, LLC
Wilmington
DE
|
Family ID: |
45565580 |
Appl. No.: |
14/062405 |
Filed: |
October 24, 2013 |
Related U.S. Patent Documents
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Application
Number |
Filing Date |
Patent Number |
|
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12716314 |
Mar 3, 2010 |
8589330 |
|
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14062405 |
|
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|
61163091 |
Mar 25, 2009 |
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Current U.S.
Class: |
706/46 |
Current CPC
Class: |
H04W 4/02 20130101; G01C
21/00 20130101; H04W 4/029 20180201; G06Q 30/0282 20130101; G06N
5/04 20130101; G01C 21/34 20130101; H04W 12/02 20130101 |
Class at
Publication: |
706/46 |
International
Class: |
G06N 5/04 20060101
G06N005/04 |
Claims
1. A computer-implemented method comprising: generating a
prediction basis for a user comprising crowd data describing crowds
in which the user was previously included during a plurality of
reoccurring time windows; and predicting one or more future
locations of the user based on the prediction basis, wherein at
least one of the preceding actions is performed on at least one
electronic hardware component.
2. The method of claim 1 wherein for each instance of each
reoccurring time window of the plurality of time windows, the
prediction basis of the user comprises crowd data describing a
crowd in which the user was included during the instance of the
reoccurring time window.
3. The method of claim 1 wherein the crowd data describing the
crowds in which the user was previously included comprises a crowd
size of each of the crowds.
4. The method of claim 1 wherein the crowd data describing the
crowds in which the user was previously included comprises, for
each crowd of the crowds, a degree of correlation between a user
profile of the user and user profiles of other users in the
crowd.
5. The method of claim 1 wherein the crowd data describing the
crowds in which the user was previously included comprises, for
each crowd of the crowds, a degree of correlation between user
profiles of users in the crowd.
6. The method of claim 1 wherein the crowd data describing the
crowds in which the user was previously included comprises one or
more crowd characteristics of each of the crowds.
7. The method of claim 6 wherein the one or more crowd
characteristics of each of the crowds comprises at least one of a
group consisting of: a best-case average Degree of Separation (DOS)
for the crowd, a worst-case average DOS for the crowd, a degree of
fragmentation of the crowd, a degree of bidirectionality of
relationships of the crowd.
8. The method of claim 1 wherein generating the prediction basis
for the user comprises: detecting an instance of one of the
plurality of reoccurring time windows; obtaining crowd data for a
crowd in which the user is located at a time at which the instance
of the one of the plurality of reoccurring time windows is
detected; storing the crowd data as part of the prediction basis of
the user; and repeating the steps of detecting, obtaining, and
storing for a plurality of instances of the plurality of
reoccurring time windows.
9. The method of claim 1 wherein predicting the one or more future
locations of the user based on the prediction basis comprises:
obtaining current crowd data describing a current crowd in which
the user is included; obtaining relevant crowd data from the
prediction basis; and determining whether the user is likely to
move based on a comparison of the current crowd data and at least a
subset of the relevant crowd data from the prediction basis.
10. The method of claim 9 wherein the relevant crowd data from the
prediction basis is crowd data from the prediction basis for a one
of the plurality of reoccurring time windows corresponding to a
current time.
11. The method of claim 9 wherein the relevant crowd data from the
prediction basis is crowd data from the prediction basis for a one
of the plurality of reoccurring time windows immediately following
a one of the plurality of reoccurring time windows corresponding to
a current time.
12. The method of claim 9 wherein predicting the one or more future
locations of the user based on the prediction basis further
comprising, if the user is likely to move: generating expected
crowd criteria describing a type of a crowd in which the user is
expected to be included based on the relevant crowd data from the
prediction basis; obtaining locations matching the expected crowd
criteria; and providing one or more of the locations matching the
expected crowd criteria as the one or more future locations of the
user.
13. The method of claim 12 wherein generating the expected crowd
criteria describing the type of crowd in which the user is expected
to be included comprises generating the expected crowd criteria
based on all of the relevant crowd data from the prediction
basis.
14. The method of claim 12 wherein the relevant crowd data
comprises crowd data for a plurality of instances of one of the
plurality of reoccurring time windows, and generating the expected
crowd criteria describing the type of crowd in which the user is
expected to be included comprises: identifying one or more patterns
in the crowd data for the plurality of instances of the one of the
plurality of reoccurring time windows; identifying an applicable
pattern from the one or more patterns; and generating the expected
crowd criteria based on the crowd data for a subset of the
plurality of instances of the one of the plurality of reoccurring
time windows that are in the applicable pattern.
15. The method of claim 12 wherein the expected crowd criteria
comprises a particular combination of values for a plurality of
crowd data components.
16. The method of claim 12 wherein the expected crowd criteria
comprises a range of values for each of at least one of a plurality
of crowd data components.
17. The method of claim 12 wherein the locations matching the
expected crowd criteria comprise one or more Points of Interest
(POIs) at which crowds that match the expected crowd criteria to at
least a threshold degree are currently located.
18. The method of claim 12 wherein the locations matching the
expected crowd criteria comprise one or more Points of Interest
(POIs) at which crowds that match the expected crowd criteria to at
least a threshold degree are expected to be located at a future
time.
19. The method of claim 12 wherein the locations matching the
expected crowd criteria comprise a location of a crowd that
currently matches the expected crowd criteria to at least a
threshold degree.
20. The method of claim 12 wherein the locations matching the
expected crowd criteria comprise a location of a crowd that is
expected to match the expected crowd criteria to at least a
threshold degree at a future time.
21. The method of claim 9 wherein determining whether the user is
likely to move comprises determining whether the user is likely to
move based on a comparison of the current crowd data and all of the
relevant crowd data from the prediction basis.
22. The method of claim 9 wherein the relevant crowd data comprises
crowd data for a plurality of instances of one of the plurality of
reoccurring time windows, and determining whether the user is
likely to move comprises: identifying one or more patterns in the
crowd data for the plurality of instances of the one of the
plurality of reoccurring time windows; identifying an applicable
pattern from the one or more patterns; and determining whether the
user is likely to move based on a comparison of the current crowd
data and a subset of the plurality of instances of the one of the
plurality of reoccurring time windows that are in the applicable
pattern.
23. The method of claim 9 wherein determining whether the user is
likely to move comprises determining that the user is likely to
move if the current crowd data is different from the at least a
subset of the relevant crowd data from the prediction basis by more
than a predefined threshold degree.
24. The method of claim 9 wherein determining whether the user is
likely to move comprises determining whether the user is likely to
move based on a vector magnitude of a vector between a point
representing the current crowd data in n-dimensional space and one
or more points representing the at least a subset of the relevant
crowd data from the prediction basis in the n-dimensional
space.
25. The method of claim 24 wherein the one or more points
representing the at least a subset of the relevant crowd data from
the prediction basis in the n-dimensional space is a combined point
representing a combination of the relevant crowd data from the
prediction basis in the n-dimensional space.
26. The method of claim 1 wherein each of the plurality of
reoccurring time windows is time window that repeats at one of a
group consisting of: daily, weekly, bi-weekly, monthly, and
yearly.
27. The method of claim 1 wherein predicting the one or more future
locations comprises ranking the one or more future locations.
28. The method of claim 1 further comprising: sending the one or
more future locations to a device associated with the user for
confirmation; and receiving a confirmation from the device of the
user in which the one or more future locations have been ranked by
at least one of a group consisting of: the device and the user at
the device.
29. The method of claim 28 wherein the one or more future locations
are ranked automatically by the device based on a location history
for the user stored by the device.
30. The method of claim 1 further comprising: receiving a
prediction request from a requestor; and returning the one or more
future locations of the user to the requestor in response to the
prediction request.
31. The method of claim 1 further comprising providing the one or
more future locations of the user as one or more recommended future
locations for the user.
32. A server comprising component including: a communication
interface communicatively coupling the server to a network; and a
controller associated with the communication interface and adapted
to: generate a prediction basis for a user comprising crowd data
describing crowds in which the user was previously included during
a plurality of reoccurring time windows; and predict one or more
future locations of the user based on the prediction basis, wherein
at least one of the components includes at least one electronic
hardware component.
33. A non-transitory computer-readable medium storing software for
instructing a controller of a computing device to: generate a
prediction basis for a user comprising crowd data describing crowds
in which the user was previously included during a plurality of
reoccurring time windows; and predict one or more future locations
of the user based on the prediction basis.
Description
CROSS-REFERENCE TO RELATED APPLICATIONS
[0001] This application is a continuation of U.S. patent
application Ser. No. 12/716,314 filed on Mar. 3, 2010, titled
"Predicting Or Recommending A User's Future Location Based On Crowd
Data," which claims the benefit of provisional patent application
Ser. No. 61/163,091, filed Mar. 25, 2009, the disclosures of which
are hereby incorporated herein by reference in their entirety.
FIELD OF THE DISCLOSURE
[0002] The present disclosure relates to predicting or recommending
future locations for a user.
BACKGROUND
[0003] Various methods exist for predicting the future location of
a user by using personal and private information about the user
such as a location history of the user. The problem with these
methods is that they all have the potential to reveal or misuse the
private information of the user. As such, there is a need for a
system and method for predicting the future location of a user in a
manner that maintains user privacy.
SUMMARY
[0004] A system and method for predicting a future location of a
user are provided. In general, a prediction basis including crowd
data describing crowds in which a user was included during a number
of reoccurring time windows is generated. Each reoccurring time
window may be, for example, a day of the week (i.e., Monday,
Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, or Sunday), a
portion of a day of the week (e.g., Monday Morning, Monday
Afternoon, Monday Evening, Tuesday Evening, etc.), a day of the
month (e.g., 1st day of the month), a day of the year (e.g., March
25th), or the like. The prediction basis of the user is then used
to predict one or more future locations of the user.
[0005] In one embodiment, in order to predict a future location of
the user, current crowd data is obtained for the user, where the
current crowd data describes a crowd in which the user is currently
included. The current crowd data of the user is then compared to at
least a subset of relevant crowd data from the prediction basis in
order to determine whether the user is likely to move.
Specifically, in one embodiment, a determination is made that the
user is likely to move if the current crowd data is different than
the at least a subset of the relevant crowd data from the
prediction basis by more than a predefined threshold degree. If a
determination is made that the user is likely to move, expected
crowd criteria describing a type of crowd in which the user is
expected to be included is generated based on the at least a subset
of the relevant crowd data from the prediction basis of the user.
Then, one or more locations that match the expected crowd criteria
are identified as the one or more future locations of the user. The
one or more locations that match the expected crowd criteria may
include one or more Points of Interest (POIs) at which crowds that
match the expected crowd criteria are currently located, one or
more POIs at which crowds that match the expected crowd criteria
are expected to be located at a future time, locations of one or
more crowds that currently match the expected crowd criteria, or
one or more crowds that are expected to match the expected crowd
criteria at a future time.
[0006] Those skilled in the art will appreciate the scope of the
present invention and realize additional aspects thereof after
reading the following detailed description of the preferred
embodiments in association with the accompanying drawing
figures.
BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWING FIGURES
[0007] The accompanying drawing figures incorporated in and forming
a part of this specification illustrate several aspects of the
invention, and together with the description serve to explain the
principles of the invention.
[0008] FIG. 1 illustrates a system for predicting future locations
of a user according to one embodiment of the present
disclosure;
[0009] FIG. 2 is a block diagram of the MAP server of FIG. 1
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0010] FIG. 3 is a block diagram of the MAP client of one of the
mobile devices of FIG. 1 according to one embodiment of the present
disclosure;
[0011] FIG. 4 illustrates the operation of the system of FIG. 1 to
provide user profiles and current locations of the users of the
mobile devices to the MAP server according to one embodiment of the
present disclosure;
[0012] FIG. 5 illustrates the operation of the system of FIG. 1 to
provide user profiles and current locations of the users of the
mobile devices to the MAP server according to another embodiment of
the present disclosure;
[0013] FIG. 6 is a flow chart for a spatial crowd formation process
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0014] FIGS. 7A through 7D graphically illustrate the crowd
formation process of FIG. 6 for an exemplary bounding box;
[0015] FIGS. 8A through 8D illustrate a flow chart for a spatial
crowd formation process according to another embodiment of the
present disclosure;
[0016] FIGS. 9A through 9D graphically illustrate the crowd
formation process of FIGS. 8A through 8D for a scenario where the
crowd formation process is triggered by a location update for a
user having no old location;
[0017] FIGS. 10A through 10F graphically illustrate the crowd
formation process of FIGS. 8A through 8D for a scenario where the
new and old bounding boxes overlap;
[0018] FIGS. 11A through 11E graphically illustrate the crowd
formation process of FIGS. 8A through 8D in a scenario where the
new and old bounding boxes do not overlap;
[0019] FIG. 12 illustrates the operation the system of FIG. 1 to
enable the mobile devices to request crowd data for currently
formed crowds according to one embodiment of the present
disclosure;
[0020] FIG. 13 illustrates exemplary data records that may be used
to represent crowds, users, crowd snapshots, and anonymous users
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0021] FIGS. 14A through 14D illustrate one embodiment of a spatial
crowd formation process that may be used to enable crowd tracking
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0022] FIG. 15 illustrates a process for creating crowd snapshots
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0023] FIG. 16 graphically illustrates anonymization of a user
record according to one embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0024] FIG. 17 illustrates a process that may be used to
re-establish crowds and detect crowd splits according to one
embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0025] FIG. 18 graphically illustrates the process of
re-establishing a crowd for an exemplary crowd according to one
embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0026] FIG. 19 graphically illustrates the process for capturing a
crowd split for an exemplary crowd according to one embodiment of
the present disclosure;
[0027] FIG. 20 graphically illustrates the merging of two exemplary
pre-existing crowds according to one embodiment of the present
disclosure;
[0028] FIG. 21 illustrates the operation of the MAP server of FIG.
1 to serve a request for crowd tracking data for a crowd according
to one embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0029] FIG. 22 illustrates the operation of the prediction server
of FIG. 1 to process a prediction request according to one
embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0030] FIG. 23 illustrates the operation of the prediction server
to generate a prediction basis for a user according to one
embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0031] FIG. 24 is a graphical representation of a prediction basis
of a user according to one embodiment of the present
disclosure;
[0032] FIG. 25 illustrates the operation of the prediction server
to predict future locations for a user based on the prediction
basis generated for the user according to one embodiment of the
present disclosure;
[0033] FIG. 26 illustrates the operation of the prediction server
to process a prediction request according to another embodiment of
the present disclosure in which the prediction server obtains
confirmation of the predicted future locations;
[0034] FIG. 27 illustrates the operation of the MAP server of FIG.
1 to generate a degree of correlation of user profiles for a crowd
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0035] FIG. 28 illustrates the operation of the MAP server of FIG.
1 to generate a degree of fragmentation of a crowd according to one
embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0036] FIGS. 29A through 29B graphically illustrates the process of
FIG. 28 according to one embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0037] FIG. 30 illustrates the operation of the MAP server of FIG.
1 to generate a degree of fragmentation of a crowd according to
another embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0038] FIGS. 31A through 31B graphically illustrates the process of
FIG. 30 according to one embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0039] FIG. 32 illustrates the operation of the MAP server of FIG.
1 to generate a degree of fragmentation of a crowd according to yet
another embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0040] FIG. 33 illustrates the operation of the MAP server of FIG.
1 to generate a degree of fragmentation of a crowd according to yet
another embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0041] FIG. 34 illustrates the operation of the MAP server of FIG.
1 to generate best-case average Degree of Separation (DOS) and a
worst-base average DOS for a crowd according to one embodiment of
the present disclosure;
[0042] FIG. 35 illustrates the operation of the MAP server of FIG.
1 to generate a degree of bidirectionality of relationships for a
crowd according to one embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0043] FIG. 36 is a block diagram of the MAP server of FIG. 1
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0044] FIG. 37 is a block diagram of one of the mobile devices of
FIG. 1 according to one embodiment of the present disclosure;
[0045] FIG. 38 is a block diagram of the subscriber device of FIG.
1 according to one embodiment of the present disclosure; and
[0046] FIG. 39 is a block diagram of the prediction server of FIG.
1 according to one embodiment of the present disclosure.
DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE PREFERRED EMBODIMENTS
[0047] The embodiments set forth below represent the necessary
information to enable those skilled in the art to practice the
invention and illustrate the best mode of practicing the invention.
Upon reading the following description in light of the accompanying
drawing figures, those skilled in the art will understand the
concepts of the invention and will recognize applications of these
concepts not particularly addressed herein. It should be understood
that these concepts and applications fall within the scope of the
disclosure and the accompanying claims.
[0048] A system and method for predicting a future location of a
user are provided. In general, a prediction basis including crowd
data describing crowds in which a user was included during a number
of reoccurring time windows is generated. Each reoccurring time
window may be, for example, a day of the week (i.e., Monday,
Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, or Sunday), a
portion of a day of the week (e.g., Monday Morning, Monday
Afternoon, Monday Evening, Tuesday Evening, etc.), a day of the
month (e.g., 1st day of the month), a day of the year (e.g., March
25th), or the like. The prediction basis of the user is then used
to predict one or more future locations of the user.
[0049] FIG. 1 illustrates a system 10 that predicts a future
location of a user according to one embodiment of the present
disclosure. In this embodiment, the system 10 includes a Mobile
Aggregate Profile (MAP) server 12, one or more profile servers 14,
a location server 16, a number of mobile devices 18-1 through 18-N
having associated users 20-1 through 20-N, a subscriber device 22
having an associated subscriber 24, a prediction server 26, and a
prediction-consuming application 28 communicatively coupled via a
network 30. The network 30 may be any type of network or any
combination of networks. Specifically, the network 30 may include
wired components, wireless components, or both wired and wireless
components. In one exemplary embodiment, the network 30 is a
distributed public network such as the Internet, where the mobile
devices 18-1 through 18-N are enabled to connect to the network 30
via local wireless connections (e.g., WiFi or IEEE 802.11
connections) or wireless telecommunications connections (e.g., 3G
or 4G telecommunications connections such as GSM, LTE, W-CDMA, or
WiMAX connections). Before proceeding, it should be noted that, for
the following discussion, the prediction server 26 is said to
predict future locations. However, it should be appreciated that
the predicted future locations may also be used as recommended
future locations for the corresponding users.
[0050] As discussed below in detail, the MAP server 12 operates to
obtain current locations, including location updates, and user
profiles of the users 20-1 through 20-N of the mobile devices 18-1
through 18-N. The current locations of the users 20-1 through 20-N
can be expressed as positional geographic coordinates such as
latitude-longitude pairs, and a height vector (if applicable), or
any other similar information capable of identifying a given
physical point in space in a two-dimensional or three-dimensional
coordinate system. Using the current locations and user profiles of
the users 20-1 through 20-N, the MAP server 12 is enabled to
provide a number of features such as, but not limited to,
maintaining a historical record of anonymized user profile data by
location, generating aggregate profile data over time for a Point
of Interest (POI) or Area of Interest (AOI) using the historical
record of anonymized user profile data, identifying crowds of users
using current locations and/or user profiles of the users 20-1
through 20-N, generating aggregate profiles for crowds of users at
a POI or in an AOI using the current user profiles of users in the
crowds, and crowd tracking. While not essential, for additional
information regarding the MAP server 12, the interested reader is
directed to U.S. patent application Ser. No. 12/645,535 entitled
MAINTAINING A HISTORICAL RECORD OF ANONYMIZED USER PROFILE DATA BY
LOCATION FOR USERS IN A MOBILE ENVIRONMENT, U.S. patent application
Ser. No. 12/645,532 entitled FORMING CROWDS AND PROVIDING ACCESS TO
CROWD DATA IN A MOBILE ENVIRONMENT, U.S. patent application Ser.
No. 12/645,539 entitled ANONYMOUS CROWD TRACKING, U.S. patent
application Ser. No. 12/645,544 entitled MODIFYING A USER'S
CONTRIBUTION TO AN AGGREGATE PROFILE BASED ON TIME BETWEEN LOCATION
UPDATES AND EXTERNAL EVENTS, U.S. patent application Ser. No.
12/645,546 entitled CROWD FORMATION FOR MOBILE DEVICE USERS, U.S.
patent application Ser. No. 12/645,556 entitled SERVING A REQUEST
FOR DATA FROM A HISTORICAL RECORD OF ANONYMIZED USER PROFILE DATA
IN A MOBILE ENVIRONMENT, and U.S. patent application Ser. No.
12/645,560 entitled HANDLING CROWD REQUESTS FOR LARGE GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS, all of which were filed on Dec. 23, 2009 and are hereby
incorporated herein by reference in their entireties. Note that
while the MAP server 12 is illustrated as a single server for
simplicity and ease of discussion, it should be appreciated that
the MAP server 12 may be implemented as a single physical server or
multiple physical servers operating in a collaborative manner for
purposes of redundancy and/or load sharing.
[0051] In general, the one or more profile servers 14 operate to
store user profiles for a number of persons including the users
20-1 through 20-N of the mobile devices 18-1 through 18-N. For
example, the one or more profile servers 14 may be servers
providing social network services such as the Facebook.RTM. social
networking service, the MySpace.RTM. social networking service, the
LinkedIN.RTM. social networking service, and/or the like. As
discussed below, using the one or more profile servers 14, the MAP
server 12 is enabled to directly or indirectly obtain the user
profiles of the users 20-1 through 20-N of the mobile devices 18-1
through 18-N. The location server 16 generally operates to receive
location updates from the mobile devices 18-1 through 18-N and make
the location updates available to entities such as, for instance,
the MAP server 12. In one exemplary embodiment, the location server
16 is a server operating to provide Yahoo!'s FireEagle service.
Before proceeding, it should be noted that while the system 10 of
FIG. 1 illustrates an embodiment where the one or more profile
servers 14 and the location server 16 are separate from the MAP
server 12, the present disclosure is not limited thereto. In an
alternative embodiment, the functionality of the one or more
profile servers 14 and/or the location server 16 may be implemented
within the MAP server 12.
[0052] The mobile devices 18-1 through 18-N may be mobile smart
phones, portable media player devices, mobile gaming devices, or
the like. Some exemplary mobile devices that may be programmed or
otherwise configured to operate as the mobile devices 18-1 through
18-N are the Apple.RTM. iPhone, the Palm Pre, the Samsung Rogue,
the Blackberry Storm, and the Apple.RTM. iPod Touch.RTM. device.
However, this list of exemplary mobile devices is not exhaustive
and is not intended to limit the scope of the present disclosure.
The mobile devices 18-1 through 18-N include MAP clients 32-1
through 32-N, MAP applications 34-1 through 34-N, third-party
applications 36-1 through 36-N, and location functions 38-1 through
38-N, respectively. Using the mobile device 18-1 as an example, the
MAP client 32-1 is preferably implemented in software. In general,
in the preferred embodiment, the MAP client 32-1 is a middleware
layer operating to interface an application layer (i.e., the MAP
application 34-1 and the third-party applications 36-1) to the MAP
server 12. More specifically, the MAP client 32-1 enables the MAP
application 34-1 and the third-party applications 36-1 to request
and receive data from the MAP server 12. It should be noted that
the functionality of the MAP client 32-1 may alternatively be
implemented within the MAP application 34-1 and the third-party
applications 36-1.
[0053] The MAP application 34-1 is also preferably implemented in
software. The MAP application 34-1 generally provides a user
interface component between the user 20-1 and the MAP server 12.
More specifically, among other things, the MAP application 34-1
enables the user 20-1 to initiate crowd requests for crowd data
(e.g., aggregate profile data and/or crowd characteristics data)
from the MAP server 12 for a POI or AOI and to view the
corresponding crowd data received from the MAP server 12. The MAP
application 34-1 also enables the user 20-1 to configure various
settings. For example, the MAP application 34-1 may enable the user
20-1 to select a desired social networking service (e.g., Facebook,
MySpace, LinkedIN, etc.) from which to obtain the user profile of
the user 20-1 and provide any necessary credentials (e.g., username
and password) needed to access the user profile from the social
networking service.
[0054] The third-party applications 36-1 are preferably implemented
in software. The third-party applications 36-1 operate to access
the MAP server 12 via the MAP client 32-1. The third-party
applications 36-1 may utilize data obtained from the MAP server 12
in any desired manner. As an example, one of the third-party
applications 36-1 may be a gaming application that utilizes
historical aggregate profile data to notify the user 20-1 of POIs
or AOIs where persons having an interest in the game have
historically congregated. The location function 38-1 may be
implemented in hardware, software, or a combination thereof. In
general, the location function 38-1 operates to determine or
otherwise obtain the location of the mobile device 18-1. For
example, the location function 38-1 may be or include a Global
Positioning System (GPS) receiver.
[0055] The subscriber device 22 is a physical device such as a
personal computer, a mobile computer (e.g., a notebook computer, a
netbook computer, a tablet computer, etc.), a mobile smart phone,
or the like. The subscriber 24 associated with the subscriber
device 22 is a person or entity. In general, the subscriber device
22 enables the subscriber 24 to access the MAP server 12 via a web
browser 40 to obtain various types of data, preferably for a fee.
For example, the subscriber 24 may pay a fee to have access to
historical aggregate profile data for one or more POIs and/or one
or more AOIs, pay a fee to have access to crowd data such as
aggregate profiles for crowds located at one or more POIs and/or
located in one or more AOIs, pay a fee to track crowds, or the
like. Note that the web browser 40 is exemplary. In another
embodiment, the subscriber device 22 is enabled to access the MAP
server 12 via a custom application.
[0056] The prediction server 26 is preferably a physical server
that operates to predict future locations of one or more of the
users 20-1 through 20-N. Preferably, the prediction server 26 hosts
one or more software applications that control the prediction
server 26 to perform the functions described herein. In an
alternative embodiment, the functionality of the prediction server
26 may be implemented within the MAP server 12. In general, the
prediction server 26 monitors crowd data for the users 20-1 through
20-N during a number of reoccurring time windows to generate a
prediction basis for each of the users 20-1 through 20-N. Each
reoccurring time window is a time window of a defined duration that
reoccurs periodically. For instance, each reoccurring time window
may repeat daily, weekly, bi-weekly, monthly, yearly, or the like.
For example, each reoccurring time window may be a day of the week
(e.g., Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, or
Sunday), a portion of a day of the week (e.g., Monday Morning,
Monday Afternoon, Monday Evening, Tuesday Morning, Tuesday
Afternoon, Tuesday evening, etc.), a day of the month (e.g., 1st
day of the month), a day of the year (e.g., March 25th), or the
like. Note that the preceding examples are not intended to limit
the scope of the present disclosure. The reoccurring time windows
may be of any desired duration and reoccur at any desired
period.
[0057] Using the user 20-1 as an example, the prediction server 26
obtains crowd data for the user 20-1 from the MAP server 12 in
order to generate a prediction basis for the user 20-1 that
includes crowd data for a number of instances of each of the
reoccurring time windows. For example, if one of the reoccurring
time windows is Monday, then the prediction basis for the user 20-1
is generated to include crowd data for a crowd in which the user
20-1 is or was included for each of a number of Mondays (i.e.,
crowd data for each of a number of instances of the reoccurring
Monday time window). Thereafter, the prediction server 26 predicts
future locations of the user 20-1 using the prediction basis of the
user 20-1 and additional crowd data from the MAP server 12, as is
described below in detail.
[0058] Lastly, the prediction-consuming application 28 is a
software application that may be implemented on a third-party
server (not shown). Alternatively, the prediction-consuming
application 28 may be implemented as one of the third-party
applications 36-1 through 36-N or as an application hosted by the
subscriber device 22. In general, the prediction-consuming
application 28 operates to request predicted location for one or
more of the users 20-1 through 20-N from the prediction server 26.
Using the user 20-1 as an example, in response to a request for
future locations of the user 20-1, the prediction server 26
generates one or more predicted locations for the user 20-1 based
on the prediction basis of the user 20-1 and returns the predicted
locations to the prediction-consuming application 28. The
prediction-consuming application 28 may then utilize the predicted
locations. The manner in which the prediction-consuming application
28 utilizes the predicted locations may vary depending on the
particular implementation. For example, the prediction-consuming
application 28 may utilize the predicted locations to generate
targeted advertisements for the user 20-1.
[0059] The focus of the present disclosure is the prediction server
26 and manner in which the prediction server 26 predicts future
locations of one or more of the users 20-1 through 20-N. However,
before describing the prediction server 26 and the operation
thereof in detail, a discussion of some of the functions provided
by the MAP server 12 are beneficial. As such, FIGS. 2-21 describe
some functions of the MAP server 12 that may be utilized when
predicting future locations.
[0060] FIG. 2 is a block diagram of the MAP server 12 of FIG. 1
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. As
illustrated, the MAP server 12 includes an application layer 42, a
business logic layer 44, and a persistence layer 46. The
application layer 42 includes a user web application 48, a mobile
client/server protocol component 50, and one or more data
Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) 52. The user web
application 48 is preferably implemented in software and operates
to provide a web interface for users, such as the subscriber 24, to
access the MAP server 12 via a web browser. The mobile
client/server protocol component 50 is preferably implemented in
software and operates to provide an interface between the MAP
server 12 and the MAP clients 32-1 through 32-N hosted by the
mobile devices 18-1 through 18-N. The data APIs 52 enable
third-party services, such as the prediction server 26, to access
the MAP server 12.
[0061] The business logic layer 44 includes a profile manager 54, a
location manager 56, a history manager 58, a crowd analyzer 60, and
an aggregation engine 62, each of which is preferably implemented
in software. The profile manager 54 generally operates to obtain
the user profiles of the users 20-1 through 20-N directly or
indirectly from the one or more profile servers 14 and store the
user profiles in the persistence layer 46. The location manager 56
operates to obtain the current locations of the users 20-1 through
20-N including location updates. As discussed below, the current
locations of the users 20-1 through 20-N may be obtained directly
from the mobile devices 18-1 through 18-N and/or obtained from the
location server 16. The history manager 58 generally operates to
maintain a historical record of anonymized user profile data by
location
[0062] The crowd analyzer 60 operates to form crowds of users. In
one embodiment, the crowd analyzer 60 utilizes a spatial crowd
formation algorithm. However, the present disclosure is not limited
thereto. In addition, the crowd analyzer 60 further characterize
crowds to reflect, for example, degree of fragmentation, best-case
and worst-case degree of separation (DOS), and/or degree of
bi-directionality, as discussed below in more detail. Still
further, the crowd analyzer 60 may also operate to track crowds.
The aggregation engine 62 generally operates to provide aggregate
profile data in response to requests from the mobile devices 18-1
through 18-N and the subscriber device 22. The aggregate profile
data may be historical aggregate profile data for one or more POIs
or one or more AOIs or aggregate profile data for crowd(s)
currently at one or more POIs or within one or more AOIs.
[0063] The persistence layer 46 includes an object mapping layer 64
and a datastore 66. The object mapping layer 64 is preferably
implemented in software. The datastore 66 is preferably a
relational database, which is implemented in a combination of
hardware (i.e., physical data storage hardware) and software (i.e.,
relational database software). In this embodiment, the business
logic layer 44 is implemented in an object-oriented programming
language such as, for example, Java. As such, the object mapping
layer 64 operates to map objects used in the business logic layer
44 to relational database entities stored in the datastore 66. Note
that, in one embodiment, data is stored in the datastore 66 in a
Resource Description Framework (RDF) compatible format.
[0064] In an alternative embodiment, rather than being a relational
database, the datastore 66 may be implemented as an RDF datastore.
More specifically, the RDF datastore may be compatible with RDF
technology adopted by Semantic Web activities. Namely, the RDF
datastore may use the Friend-Of-A-Friend (FOAF) vocabulary for
describing people, their social networks, and their interests. In
this embodiment, the MAP server 12 may be designed to accept raw
FOAF files describing persons, their friends, and their interests.
These FOAF files are currently output by some social networking
services such as Livejournal and Facebook. The MAP server 12 may
then persist RDF descriptions of the users 20-1 through 20-N as a
proprietary extension of the FOAF vocabulary that includes
additional properties desired for the system 10.
[0065] FIG. 3 illustrates the MAP client 32-1 of FIG. 1 in more
detail according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. This
discussion is equally applicable to the other MAP clients 32-2
through 32-N. As illustrated, in this embodiment, the MAP client
32-1 includes a MAP access API 68, a MAP middleware component 70,
and a mobile client/server protocol component 72. The MAP access
API 68 is implemented in software and provides an interface by
which the MAP client 32-1 and the third-party applications 36-1 are
enabled to access the MAP server 12. The MAP middleware component
70 is implemented in software and performs the operations needed
for the MAP client 32-1 to operate as an interface between the MAP
application 34-1 and the third-party applications 36-1 at the
mobile device 18-1 and the MAP server 12. The mobile client/server
protocol component 72 enables communication between the MAP client
32-1 and the MAP server 12 via a defined protocol.
[0066] FIG. 4 illustrates the operation of the system 10 of FIG. 1
to provide the user profile of the user 20-1 of the mobile device
18-1 to the MAP server 12 according to one embodiment of the
present disclosure. This discussion is equally applicable to user
profiles of the other users 20-2 through 20-N of the other mobile
devices 18-2 through 18-N. First, an authentication process is
performed (step 1000). For authentication, in this embodiment, the
mobile device 18-1 authenticates with the profile server 14 (step
1000A) and the MAP server 12 (step 10008). In addition, the MAP
server 12 authenticates with the profile server 14 (step 1000C).
Preferably, authentication is performed using Open ID or similar
technology. However, authentication may alternatively be performed
using separate credentials (e.g., username and password) of the
user 20-1 for access to the MAP server 12 and the profile server
14. Assuming that authentication is successful, the profile server
14 returns an authentication succeeded message to the MAP server 12
(step 10000), and the profile server 14 returns an authentication
succeeded message to the MAP client 32-1 of the mobile device 18-1
(step 1000E).
[0067] At some point after authentication is complete, a user
profile process is performed such that a user profile of the user
20-1 is obtained from the profile server 14 and delivered to the
MAP server 12 (step 1002). In this embodiment, the MAP client 32-1
of the mobile device 18-1 sends a profile request to the profile
server 14 (step 1002A). In response, the profile server 14 returns
the user profile of the user 20-1 to the mobile device 18-1 (step
10028). The MAP client 32-1 of the mobile device 18-1 then sends
the user profile of the user 20-1 to the MAP server 12 (step
1002C). Note that while in this embodiment the MAP client 32-1
sends the complete user profile of the user 20-1 to the MAP server
12, in an alternative embodiment, the MAP client 32-1 may filter
the user profile of the user 20-1 according to criteria specified
by the user 20-1. For example, the user profile of the user 20-1
may include demographic information, general interests, music
interests, and movie interests, and the user 20-1 may specify that
the demographic information or some subset thereof is to be
filtered, or removed, before sending the user profile to the MAP
server 12.
[0068] Upon receiving the user profile of the user 20-1 from the
MAP client 32-1 of the mobile device 18-1, the profile manager 54
of the MAP server 12 processes the user profile (step 10020). More
specifically, in the preferred embodiment, the profile manager 54
includes social network handlers for the social network services
supported by the MAP server 12. Thus, for example, if the MAP
server 12 supports user profiles from Facebook, MySpace, and
LinkedIN, the profile manager 54 may include a Facebook handler, a
MySpace handler, and a LinkedIN handler. The social network
handlers process user profiles to generate user profiles for the
MAP server 12 that include lists of keywords for each of a number
of profile categories. The profile categories may be the same for
each of the social network handlers or different for each of the
social network handlers. Thus, for this example assume that the
user profile of the user 20-1 is from Facebook. The profile manager
54 uses a Facebook handler to process the user profile of the user
20-1 to map the user profile of the user 20-1 from Facebook to a
user profile for the MAP server 12 including lists of keywords for
a number of predefined profile categories. For example, for the
Facebook handler, the profile categories may be a demographic
profile category, a social interaction profile category, a general
interests profile category, a music interests profile category, and
a movie interests profile category. As such, the user profile of
the user 20-1 from Facebook may be processed by the Facebook
handler of the profile manager 54 to create a list of keywords such
as, for example, liberal, High School Graduate, 35-44, College
Graduate, etc. for the demographic profile category, a list of
keywords such as Seeking Friendship for the social interaction
profile category, a list of keywords such as politics, technology,
photography, books, etc. for the general interests profile
category, a list of keywords including music genres, artist names,
album names, or the like for the music interests profile category,
and a list of keywords including movie titles, actor or actress
names, director names, move genres, or the like for the movie
interests profile category. In one embodiment, the profile manager
54 may use natural language processing or semantic analysis. For
example, if the Facebook user profile of the user 20-1 states that
the user 20-1 is 20 years old, semantic analysis may result in the
keyword of 18-24 years old being stored in the user profile of the
user 20-1 for the MAP server 12.
[0069] After processing the user profile of the user 20-1, the
profile manager 54 of the MAP server 12 stores the resulting user
profile for the user 20-1 (step 1002E). More specifically, in one
embodiment, the MAP server 12 stores user records for the users
20-1 through 20-N in the datastore 66 (FIG. 2). The user profile of
the user 20-1 is stored in the user record of the user 20-1. The
user record of the user 20-1 includes a unique identifier of the
user 20-1, the user profile of the user 20-1, and, as discussed
below, a current location of the user 20-1. Note that the user
profile of the user 20-1 may be updated as desired. For example, in
one embodiment, the user profile of the user 20-1 is updated by
repeating step 1002 each time the user 20-1 activates the MAP
application 34-1.
[0070] Note that while the discussion herein focuses on an
embodiment where the user profiles of the users 20-1 through 20-N
are obtained from the one or more profile servers 14, the user
profiles of the users 20-1 through 20-N may be obtained in any
desired manner. For example, in one alternative embodiment, the
user 20-1 may identify one or more favorite websites. The profile
manager 54 of the MAP server 12 may then crawl the one or more
favorite websites of the user 20-1 to obtain keywords appearing in
the one or more favorite websites of the user 20-1. These keywords
may then be stored as the user profile of the user 20-1.
[0071] At some point, a process is performed such that a current
location of the mobile device 18-1 and thus a current location of
the user 20-1 is obtained by the MAP server 12 (step 1004). In this
embodiment, the MAP application 34-1 of the mobile device 18-1
obtains the current location of the mobile device 18-1 from the
location function 38-1 of the mobile device 18-1. The MAP
application 34-1 then provides the current location of the mobile
device 18-1 to the MAP client 32-1, and the MAP client 32-1 then
provides the current location of the mobile device 18-1 to the MAP
server 12 (step 1004A). Note that step 1004A may be repeated
periodically or in response to a change in the current location of
the mobile device 18-1 in order for the MAP application 34-1 to
provide location updates for the user 20-1 to the MAP server
12.
[0072] In response to receiving the current location of the mobile
device 18-1, the location manager 56 of the MAP server 12 stores
the current location of the mobile device 18-1 as the current
location of the user 20-1 (step 10048). More specifically, in one
embodiment, the current location of the user 20-1 is stored in the
user record of the user 20-1 maintained in the datastore 66 of the
MAP server 12. In the preferred embodiment, only the current
location of the user 20-1 is stored in the user record of the user
20-1. In this manner, the MAP server 12 maintains privacy for the
user 20-1 since the MAP server 12 does not maintain a historical
record of the location of the user 20-1. In this manner, privacy of
the users 20-1 through 20-N is maintained.
[0073] In addition to storing the current location of the user
20-1, the location manager 56 sends the current location of the
user 20-1 to the location server 16 (step 1004C). In this
embodiment, by providing location updates to the location server
16, the MAP server 12 in return receives location updates for the
user 20-1 from the location server 16. This is particularly
beneficial when the mobile device 18-1 does not permit background
processes, which is the case for the Apple.RTM. iPhone. As such, if
the mobile device 18-1 is an Apple.RTM. iPhone or similar device
that does not permit background processes, the MAP application 34-1
will not be able to provide location updates for the user 20-1 to
the MAP server 12 unless the MAP application 34-1 is active.
[0074] Therefore, when the MAP application 34-1 is not active,
other applications running on the mobile device 18-1 (or some other
device of the user 20-1) may directly or indirectly provide
location updates to the location server 16 for the user 20-1. This
is illustrated in step 1006 where the location server 16 receives a
location update for the user 20-1 directly or indirectly from
another application running on the mobile device 18-1 or an
application running on another device of the user 20-1 (step
1006A). The location server 16 then provides the location update
for the user 20-1 to the MAP server 12 (step 1006B). In response,
the location manager 56 updates and stores the current location of
the user 20-1 in the user record of the user 20-1 (step 1006C). In
this manner, the MAP server 12 is enabled to obtain location
updates for the user 20-1 even when the MAP application 34-1 is not
active at the mobile device 18-1.
[0075] FIG. 5 illustrates the operation of the system 10 of FIG. 1
to provide the user profile of the user 20-1 of the mobile device
18-1 according to another embodiment of the present disclosure.
This discussion is equally applicable to user profiles of the other
users 20-2 through 20-N of the other mobile devices 18-2 through
18-N. First, an authentication process is performed (step 1100).
For authentication, in this embodiment, the mobile device 18-1
authenticates with the MAP server 12 (step 1100A), and the MAP
server 12 authenticates with the profile server 14 (step 1100B).
Preferably, authentication is performed using OpenID or similar
technology. However, authentication may alternatively be performed
using separate credentials (e.g., username and password) of the
user 20-1 for access to the MAP server 12 and the profile server
14. Assuming that authentication is successful, the profile server
14 returns an authentication succeeded message to the MAP server 12
(step 1100C), and the MAP server 12 returns an authentication
succeeded message to the MAP client 32-1 of the mobile device 18-1
(step 11000).
[0076] At some point after authentication is complete, a user
profile process is performed such that a user profile of the user
20-1 is obtained from the profile server 14 and delivered to the
MAP server 12 (step 1102). In this embodiment, the profile manager
54 of the MAP server 12 sends a profile request to the profile
server 14 (step 1102A). In response, the profile server 14 returns
the user profile of the user 20-1 to the profile manager 54 of the
MAP server 12 (step 11028). Note that while in this embodiment the
profile server 14 returns the complete user profile of the user
20-1 to the MAP server 12, in an alternative embodiment, the
profile server 14 may return a filtered version of the user profile
of the user 20-1 to the MAP server 12. The profile server 14 may
filter the user profile of the user 20-1 according to criteria
specified by the user 20-1. For example, the user profile of the
user 20-1 may include demographic information, general interests,
music interests, and movie interests, and the user 20-1 may specify
that the demographic information or some subset thereof is to be
filtered, or removed, before sending the user profile to the MAP
server 12.
[0077] Upon receiving the user profile of the user 20-1, the
profile manager 54 of the MAP server 12 processes to the user
profile (step 1102C). More specifically, as discussed above, in the
preferred embodiment, the profile manager 54 includes social
network handlers for the social network services supported by the
MAP server 12. The social network handlers process user profiles to
generate user profiles for the MAP server 12 that include lists of
keywords for each of a number of profile categories. The profile
categories may be the same for each of the social network handlers
or different for each of the social network handlers.
[0078] After processing the user profile of the user 20-1, the
profile manager 54 of the MAP server 12 stores the resulting user
profile for the user 20-1 (step 1102D). More specifically, in one
embodiment, the MAP server 12 stores user records for the users
20-1 through 20-N in the datastore 66 (FIG. 2). The user profile of
the user 20-1 is stored in the user record of the user 20-1. The
user record of the user 20-1 includes a unique identifier of the
user 20-1, the user profile of the user 20-1, and, as discussed
below, a current location of the user 20-1. Note that the user
profile of the user 20-1 may be updated as desired. For example, in
one embodiment, the user profile of the user 20-1 is updated by
repeating step 1102 each time the user 20-1 activates the MAP
application 34-1.
[0079] Note that the while the discussion herein focuses on an
embodiment where the user profiles of the users 20-1 through 20-N
are obtained from the one or more profile servers 14, the user
profiles of the users 20-1 through 20-N may be obtained in any
desired manner. For example, in one alternative embodiment, the
user 20-1 may identify one or more favorite websites. The profile
manager 54 of the MAP server 12 may then crawl the one or more
favorite websites of the user 20-1 to obtain keywords appearing in
the one or more favorite websites of the user 20-1. These keywords
may then be stored as the user profile of the user 20-1.
[0080] At some point, a process is performed such that a current
location of the mobile device 18-1 and thus a current location of
the user 20-1 is obtained by the MAP server 12 (step 1104). In this
embodiment, the MAP application 34-1 of the mobile device 18-1
obtains the current location of the mobile device 18-1 from the
location function 38-1 of the mobile device 18-1. The MAP
application 34-1 then provides the current location of the user
20-1 of the mobile device 18-1 to the location server 16 (step
1104A). Note that step 1104A may be repeated periodically or in
response to changes in the location of the mobile device 18-1 in
order to provide location updates for the user 20-1 to the MAP
server 12. The location server 16 then provides the current
location of the user 20-1 to the MAP server 12 (step 1104B). The
location server 16 may provide the current location of the user
20-1 to the MAP server 12 automatically in response to receiving
the current location of the user 20-1 from the mobile device 18-1
or in response to a request from the MAP server 12.
[0081] In response to receiving the current location of the mobile
device 18-1, the location manager 56 of the MAP server 12 stores
the current location of the mobile device 18-1 as the current
location of the user 20-1 (step 1104C). More specifically, in one
embodiment, the current location of the user 20-1 is stored in the
user record of the user 20-1 maintained in the datastore 66 of the
MAP server 12. Note that only the current location of the user 20-1
is stored in the user record of the user 20-1. In this manner, the
MAP server 12 maintains privacy for the user 20-1 since the MAP
server 12 does not maintain a historical record of the location of
the user 20-1. As discussed below in detail, historical data
maintained by the MAP server 12 is anonymized in order to maintain
the privacy of the users 20-1 through 20-N.
[0082] As discussed above, the use of the location server 16 is
particularly beneficial when the mobile device 18-1 does not permit
background processes, which is the case for the Apple.RTM. iPhone.
As such, if the mobile device 18-1 is an Apple.RTM. iPhone or
similar device that does not permit background processes, the MAP
application 34-1 will not provide location updates for the user
20-1 to the location server 16 unless the MAP application 34-1 is
active. However, other applications running on the mobile device
18-1 (or some other device of the user 20-1) may provide location
updates to the location server 16 for the user 20-1 when the MAP
application 34-1 is not active. This is illustrated in step 1106
where the location server 16 receives a location update for the
user 20-1 from another application running on the mobile device
18-1 or an application running on another device of the user 20-1
(step 1106A). The location server 16 then provides the location
update for the user 20-1 to the MAP server 12 (step 1106B). In
response, the location manager 56 updates and stores the current
location of the user 20-1 in the user record of the user 20-1 (step
1106C). In this manner, the MAP server 12 is enabled to obtain
location updates for the user 20-1 even when the MAP application
34-1 is not active at the mobile device 18-1.
[0083] Using the current locations of the users 20-1 through 20-N
and the user profiles of the users 20-1 through 20-N, the MAP
server 12 can provide a number of features. FIG. 6 begins a
discussion of the operation of the crowd analyzer 60 to form crowds
of users according to one embodiment of the present disclosure.
Specifically, FIG. 6 is a flow chart for a spatial crowd formation
process according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. Note
that, in one embodiment, this process is performed in response to a
request for crowd data (i.e., reactively). In another embodiment,
this process may be performed proactively by the crowd analyzer 60
as, for example, a background process.
[0084] First, the crowd analyzer 60 establishes a bounding box for
the crowd formation process (step 1200). Note that while a bounding
box is used in this example, other geographic shapes may be used to
define a bounding region for the crowd formation process (e.g., a
bounding circle). In one embodiment, if crowd formation is
performed in response to a specific request, the bounding box is
established based on the request. For example, the request may
identify a Point of Interest (POI), in which case a bounding box of
a predefined size that is centered at the POI is established. As
another example, the request may identify an Area of Interest
(AOI), in which case a bounding box corresponding to the AOI is
established. As yet another example, the request may identify a
particular location, in which case a bounding box of a predefined
size that is centered at that location is established.
Alternatively, if the crowd formation process is performed
proactively, the bounding box is a bounding box of a predefined
size.
[0085] The crowd analyzer 60 then creates a crowd for each
individual user in the bounding box (step 1202). More specifically,
the crowd analyzer 60 queries the datastore 66 of the MAP server 12
to identify users currently located within the bounding box. Then,
a crowd of one user is created for each user currently located
within the bounding box. Next, the crowd analyzer 60 determines the
two closest crowds in the bounding box (step 1204) and determines a
distance between the two crowds (step 1206). The distance between
the two crowds is a distance between crowd centers of the two
crowds. Note that the crowd center of a crowd of one is the current
location of the user in the crowd. The crowd analyzer 60 then
determines whether the distance between the two crowds is less than
an optimal inclusion distance (step 1208). In this embodiment, the
optimal inclusion distance is a predefined static distance. If the
distance between the two crowds is less than the optimal inclusion
distance, the crowd analyzer 60 combines the two crowds (step 1210)
and computes a new crowd center for the resulting crowd (step
1212). The crowd center may be computed based on the current
locations of the users in the crowd using a center of mass
algorithm. At this point the process returns to step 1204 and is
repeated until the distance between the two closest crowds is not
less than the optimal inclusion distance. At that point, the crowd
analyzer 60 discards any crowds with less than three users (step
1214). Note that throughout this disclosure crowds are only
maintained if the crowds include three or more users. However,
while three users is the preferred minimum number of users in a
crowd, the present disclosure is not limited thereto. The minimum
number of users in a crowd may be defined as any number greater
than or equal to two users.
[0086] FIGS. 7A through 7D graphically illustrate the crowd
formation process of FIG. 6 for an exemplary bounding box 74.
Crowds are noted by dashed circles, and the crowd centers are noted
by cross-hairs (+). As illustrated in FIG. 7A, initially, the crowd
analyzer 60 creates crowds 76 through 84 for the users in the
geographic area, where, at this point, each of the crowds 76
through 84 includes one user. The current locations of the users
are the crowd centers of the crowds 76 through 84. Next, the crowd
analyzer 60 determines the two closest crowds and a distance
between the two closest crowds. In this example, at this point, the
two closest crowds are crowds 78 and 80, and the distance between
the two closest crowds 78 and 80 is less than the optimal inclusion
distance. As such, the two closest crowds 78 and 80 are combined by
merging crowd 80 into crowd 78, and a new crowd center (+) is
computed for the crowd 78, as illustrated in FIG. 7B. Next, the
crowd analyzer 60 again determines the two closest crowds, which
are now crowds 76 and 78. The crowd analyzer 60 then determines a
distance between the crowds 76 and 78. Since the distance is less
than the optimal inclusion distance, the crowd analyzer 60 combines
the two crowds 76 and 78 by merging the crowd 76 into the crowd 78,
and a new crowd center (+) is computed for the crowd 78, as
illustrated in FIG. 7C. At this point, there are no more crowds
separated by less than the optimal inclusion distance. As such, the
crowd analyzer 60 discards crowds having less than three users,
which in this example are crowds 82 and 84. As a result, at the end
of the crowd formation process, the crowd 78 has been formed with
three users, as illustrated in FIG. 7D.
[0087] FIGS. 8A through 8D illustrate a spatial crowd formation
process according to another embodiment of the present disclosure.
In this embodiment, the spatial crowd formation process is
triggered in response to receiving a location update for one of the
users 20-1 through 20-N and is preferably repeated for each
location update received for the users 20-1 through 20-N. As such,
first, the crowd analyzer 60 receives a location update, or a new
location, for a user (step 1300). Assume that, for this example,
the location update is received for the user 20-1. In response, the
crowd analyzer 60 retrieves an old location of the user 20-1, if
any (step 1302). The old location is the current location of the
user 20-1 prior to receiving the new location. The crowd analyzer
60 then creates a new bounding box of a predetermined size centered
at the new location of the user 20-1 (step 1304) and an old
bounding box of a predetermined size centered at the old location
of the user 20-1, if any (step 1306). The predetermined size of the
new and old bounding boxes may be any desired size. As one example,
the predetermined size of the new and old bounding boxes is 40
meters by 40 meters. Note that if the user 20-1 does not have an
old location (i.e., the location received in step 1300 is the first
location received for the user 20-1), then the old bounding box is
essentially null. Also note that while bounding "boxes" are used in
this example, the bounding areas may be of any desired shape.
[0088] Next, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether the new and
old bounding boxes overlap (step 1308). If so, the crowd analyzer
60 creates a bounding box encompassing the new and old bounding
boxes (step 1310). For example, if the new and old bounding boxes
are 40.times.40 meter regions and a 1.times.1 meter square at the
northeast corner of the new bounding box overlaps a 1.times.1 meter
square at the southwest corner of the old bounding box, the crowd
analyzer 60 may create a 79.times.79 meter square bounding box
encompassing both the new and old bounding boxes.
[0089] The crowd analyzer 60 then determines the individual users
and crowds relevant to the bounding box created in step 1310 (step
1312). The crowds relevant to the bounding box are crowds that are
within or overlap the bounding box (e.g., have at least one user
located within the bounding box). The individual users relevant to
the bounding box are users that are currently located within the
bounding box and not already part of a crowd. Next, the crowd
analyzer 60 computes an optimal inclusion distance for individual
users based on user density within the bounding box (step 1314).
More specifically, in one embodiment, the optimal inclusion
distance for individuals, which is also referred to herein as an
initial optimal inclusion distance, is set according to the
following equation:
initial_optimal _inclusion _dist = a * A BoundingBox number_of
_users , ##EQU00001##
where a is a number between 0 and 1, A.sub.BoundingBox is an area
of the bounding box, and number_of_users is the total number of
users in the bounding box. The total number of users in the
bounding box includes both individual users that are not already in
a crowd and users that are already in a crowd. In one embodiment, a
is 2/3.
[0090] The crowd analyzer 60 then creates a crowd for each
individual user within the bounding box that is not already
included in a crowd and sets the optimal inclusion distance for the
crowds to the initial optimal inclusion distance (step 1316). At
this point, the process proceeds to FIG. 8B where the crowd
analyzer 60 analyzes the crowds relevant to the bounding box to
determine whether any of the crowd members (i.e., users in the
crowds) violate the optimal inclusion distance of their crowds
(step 1318). Any crowd member that violates the optimal inclusion
distance of his or her crowd is then removed from that crowd (step
1320). The crowd analyzer 60 then creates a crowd of one user for
each of the users removed from their crowds in step 1320 and sets
the optimal inclusion distance for the newly created crowds to the
initial optimal inclusion distance (step 1322).
[0091] Next, the crowd analyzer 60 determines the two closest
crowds for the bounding box (step 1324) and a distance between the
two closest crowds (step 1326). The distance between the two
closest crowds is the distance between the crowd centers of the two
closest crowds. The crowd analyzer 60 then determines whether the
distance between the two closest crowds is less than the optimal
inclusion distance of a larger of the two closest crowds (step
1328). If the two closest crowds are of the same size (i.e., have
the same number of users), then the optimal inclusion distance of
either of the two closest crowds may be used. Alternatively, if the
two closest crowds are of the same size, the optimal inclusion
distances of both of the two closest crowds may be used such that
the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether the distance between the
two closest crowds is less than the optimal inclusion distances of
both of the two closest crowds. As another alternative, if the two
closest crowds are of the same size, the crowd analyzer 60 may
compare the distance between the two closest crowds to an average
of the optimal inclusion distances of the two closest crowds.
[0092] If the distance between the two closest crowds is less than
the optimal inclusion distance, the two closest crowds are combined
or merged (step 1330), and a new crowd center for the resulting
crowd is computed (step 1332). Again, a center of mass algorithm
may be used to compute the crowd center of a crowd. In addition, a
new optimal inclusion distance for the resulting crowd is computed
(step 1334). In one embodiment, the new optimal inclusion distance
for the resulting crowd is computed as:
average = 1 n + 1 * ( initial_optimal _inclusion _dist + i - 1 n d
i ) , optimal_inclusion _dist = average + 1 n * i = 1 n ( d i -
average ) 2 , ##EQU00002##
where n is the number of users in the crowd and is a distance
between the ith user and the crowd center. In other words, the new
optimal inclusion distance is computed as the average of the
initial optimal inclusion distance and the distances between the
users in the crowd and the crowd center plus one standard
deviation.
[0093] At this point, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether a
maximum number of iterations have been performed (step 1336). The
maximum number of iterations is a predefined number that ensures
that the crowd formation process does not indefinitely loop over
steps 1318 through 1334 or loop over steps 1318 through 1334 more
than a desired maximum number of times. If the maximum number of
iterations has not been reached, the process returns to step 1318
and is repeated until either the distance between the two closest
crowds is not less than the optimal inclusion distance of the
larger crowd or the maximum number of iterations has been reached.
At that point, the crowd analyzer 60 discards crowds with less than
three users, or members (step 1338) and the process ends.
[0094] Returning to step 1308 in FIG. 8A, if the new and old
bounding boxes do not overlap, the process proceeds to FIG. 8C and
the bounding box to be processed is set to the old bounding box
(step 1340). In general, the crowd analyzer 60 then processes the
old bounding box in much the same manner as described above with
respect to steps 1312 through 1338. More specifically, the crowd
analyzer 60 determines the individual users and crowds relevant to
the bounding box (step 1342). The crowds relevant to the bounding
box are crowds that are within or overlap the bounding box (e.g.,
have at least one user located within the bounding box). The
individual users relevant to the bounding box are users that are
currently located within the bounding box and not already part of a
crowd. Next, the crowd analyzer 60 computes an optimal inclusion
distance for individual users based on user density within the
bounding box (step 1344). More specifically, in one embodiment, the
optimal inclusion distance for individuals, which is also referred
to herein as an initial optimal inclusion distance, is set
according to the following equation:
initial_optimal _inclusion _dist = a * A BoundingBox number_of
_users , ##EQU00003##
where a is a number between 0 and 1, A.sub.BoundingBox is an area
of the bounding box, and number_of_users is the total number of
users in the bounding box. The total number of users in the
bounding box includes both individual users that are not already in
a crowd and users that are already in a crowd. In one embodiment, a
is 2/3.
[0095] The crowd analyzer 60 then creates a crowd of one user for
each individual user within the bounding box that is not already
included in a crowd and sets the optimal inclusion distance for the
crowds to the initial optimal inclusion distance (step 1346). At
this point, the crowd analyzer 60 analyzes the crowds for the
bounding box to determine whether any crowd members (i.e., users in
the crowds) violate the optimal inclusion distance of their crowds
(step 1348). Any crowd member that violates the optimal inclusion
distance of his or her crowd is then removed from that crowd (step
1350). The crowd analyzer 60 then creates a crowd of one user for
each of the users removed from their crowds in step 1350 and sets
the optimal inclusion distance for the newly created crowds to the
initial optimal inclusion distance (step 1352).
[0096] Next, the crowd analyzer 60 determines the two closest
crowds in the bounding box (step 1354) and a distance between the
two closest crowds (step 1356). The distance between the two
closest crowds is the distance between the crowd centers of the two
closest crowds. The crowd analyzer 60 then determines whether the
distance between the two closest crowds is less than the optimal
inclusion distance of a larger of the two closest crowds (step
1358). If the two closest crowds are of the same size (i.e., have
the same number of users), then the optimal inclusion distance of
either of the two closest crowds may be used. Alternatively, if the
two closest crowds are of the same size, the optimal inclusion
distances of both of the two closest crowds may be used such that
the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether the distance between the
two closest crowds is less than the optimal inclusion distances of
both of the two closest crowds. As another alternative, if the two
closest crowds are of the same size, the crowd analyzer 60 may
compare the distance between the two closest crowds to an average
of the optimal inclusion distances of the two closest crowds.
[0097] If the distance between the two closest crowds is less than
the optimal inclusion distance, the two closest crowds are combined
or merged (step 1360), and a new crowd center for the resulting
crowd is computed (step 1362). Again, a center of mass algorithm
may be used to compute the crowd center of a crowd. In addition, a
new optimal inclusion distance for the resulting crowd is computed
(step 1364). As discussed above, in one embodiment, the new optimal
inclusion distance for the resulting crowd is computed as:
average = 1 n + 1 * ( initial_optimal _inclusion _dist + i - 1 n d
i ) , optimal_inclusion _dist = average + 1 n * i = 1 n ( d i -
average ) 2 , ##EQU00004##
where n is the number of users in the crowd and d.sub.i is a
distance between the ith user and the crowd center. In other words,
the new optimal inclusion distance is computed as the average of
the initial optimal inclusion distance and the distances between
the users in the crowd and the crowd center plus one standard
deviation.
[0098] At this point, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether a
maximum number of iterations have been performed (step 1366). If
the maximum number of iterations has not been reached, the process
returns to step 1348 and is repeated until either the distance
between the two closest crowds is not less than the optimal
inclusion distance of the larger crowd or the maximum number of
iterations has been reached. At that point, the crowd analyzer 60
discards crowds with less than three users, or members (step 1368).
The crowd analyzer 60 then determines whether the crowd formation
process for the new and old bounding boxes is done (step 1370). In
other words, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether both the new
and old bounding boxes have been processed. If not, the bounding
box is set to the new bounding box (step 1372), and the process
returns to step 1342 and is repeated for the new bounding box. Once
both the new and old bounding box have been processed, the crowd
formation process ends.
[0099] FIGS. 9A through 9D graphically illustrate the crowd
formation process of FIGS. 8A through 8D for a scenario where the
crowd formation process is triggered by a location update for a
user having no old location. In this scenario, the crowd analyzer
60 creates a new bounding box 86 for the new location of the user,
and the new bounding box 86 is set as the bounding box to be
processed for crowd formation. Then, as illustrated in FIG. 9A, the
crowd analyzer 60 identifies all individual users currently located
within the bounding box 86 and all crowds located within or
overlapping the bounding box. In this example, crowd 88 is an
existing crowd relevant to the bounding box 86. Crowds are
indicated by dashed circles, crowd centers are indicated by
cross-hairs (+), and users are indicated as dots. Next, as
illustrated in FIG. 9B, the crowd analyzer 60 creates crowds 90
through 94 of one user for the individual users, and the optional
inclusion distances of the crowds 90 through 94 are set to the
initial optimal inclusion distance. As discussed above, the initial
optimal inclusion distance is computed by the crowd analyzer 60
based on a density of users within the bounding box 86.
[0100] The crowd analyzer 60 then identifies the two closest crowds
90 and 92 in the bounding box 86 and determines a distance between
the two closest crowds 90 and 92. In this example, the distance
between the two closest crowds 90 and 92 is less than the optimal
inclusion distance. As such, the two closest crowds 90 and 92 are
merged and a new crowd center and new optimal inclusion distance
are computed, as illustrated in FIG. 9C. The crowd analyzer 60 then
repeats the process such that the two closest crowds 90 and 94 in
the bounding box 86 are again merged, as illustrated in FIG. 9D. At
this point, the distance between the two closest crowds 88 and 90
is greater than the appropriate optimal inclusion distance. As
such, the crowd formation process is complete.
[0101] FIGS. 10A through 10F graphically illustrate the crowd
formation process of FIGS. 8A through 8D for a scenario where the
new and old bounding boxes overlap. As illustrated in FIG. 10A, a
user moves from an old location to a new location, as indicated by
an arrow. The crowd analyzer 60 receives a location update for the
user giving the new location of the user. In response, the crowd
analyzer 60 creates an old bounding box 96 for the old location of
the user and a new bounding box 98 for the new location of the
user. Crowd 100 exists in the old bounding box 96, and crowd 102
exists in the new bounding box 98.
[0102] Since the old bounding box 96 and the new bounding box 98
overlap, the crowd analyzer 60 creates a bounding box 104 that
encompasses both the old bounding box 96 and the new bounding box
98, as illustrated in FIG. 10B. In addition, the crowd analyzer 60
creates crowds 106 through 112 for individual users currently
located within the bounding box 104. The optimal inclusion
distances of the crowds 106 through 112 are set to the initial
optimal inclusion distance computed by the crowd analyzer 60 based
on the density of users in the bounding box 104.
[0103] Next, the crowd analyzer 60 analyzes the crowds 100, 102,
and 106 through 112 to determine whether any members of the crowds
100, 102, and 106 through 112 violate the optimal inclusion
distances of the crowds 100, 102, and 106 through 112. In this
example, as a result of the user leaving the crowd 100 and moving
to his new location, both of the remaining members of the crowd 100
violate the optimal inclusion distance of the crowd 100. As such,
the crowd analyzer 60 removes the remaining users from the crowd
100 and creates crowds 114 and 116 of one user each for those
users, as illustrated in FIG. 10C.
[0104] The crowd analyzer 60 then identifies the two closest crowds
in the bounding box 104, which in this example are the crowds 110
and 112. Next, the crowd analyzer 60 computes a distance between
the two crowds 110 and 112. In this example, the distance between
the two crowds 110 and 112 is less than the initial optimal
inclusion distance and, as such, the two crowds 110 and 112 are
combined. In this example, crowds are combined by merging the
smaller crowd into the larger crowd. Since the two crowds 110 and
112 are of the same size, the crowd analyzer 60 merges the crowd
112 into the crowd 110, as illustrated in FIG. 10D. A new crowd
center and new optimal inclusion distance are then computed for the
crowd 110.
[0105] At this point, the crowd analyzer 60 repeats the process and
determines that the crowds 102 and 108 are now the two closest
crowds. In this example, the distance between the two crowds 102
and 108 is less than the optimal inclusion distance of the larger
of the two crowds 102 and 108, which is the crowd 102. As such, the
crowd 108 is merged into the crowd 102 and a new crowd center and
optimal inclusion distance are computed for the crowd 102, as
illustrated in FIG. 10E. At this point, there are no two crowds
closer than the optimal inclusion distance of the larger of the two
crowds. As such, the crowd analyzer 60 discards any crowds having
less than three members, as illustrated in FIG. 10F. In this
example, the crowds 106, 110, 114, and 116 have less than three
members and are therefore removed. The crowd 102 has three or more
members and, as such, is not removed. At this point, the crowd
formation process is complete.
[0106] FIGS. 11A through 11E graphically illustrate the crowd
formation process of FIGS. 8A through 8D in a scenario where the
new and old bounding boxes do not overlap. As illustrated in FIG.
11A, in this example, the user moves from an old location to a new
location. The crowd analyzer 60 creates an old bounding box 118 for
the old location of the user and a new bounding box 120 for the new
location of the user. Crowds 122 and 124 exist in the old bounding
box 118, and crowd 126 exists in the new bounding box 120. In this
example, since the old and new bounding boxes 118 and 120 do not
overlap, the crowd analyzer 60 processes the old and new bounding
boxes 118 and 120 separately.
[0107] More specifically, as illustrated in FIG. 11B, as a result
of the movement of the user from the old location to the new
location, the remaining users in the crowd 122 no longer satisfy
the optimal inclusion distance for the crowd 122. As such, the
remaining users in the crowd 122 are removed from the crowd 122,
and crowds 128 and 130 of one user each are created for the removed
users as shown in FIG. 11C. In this example, no two crowds in the
old bounding box 118 are close enough to be combined. As such,
processing of the old bounding box 118 is complete, and the crowd
analyzer 60 proceeds to process the new bounding box 120.
[0108] As illustrated in FIG. 11D, processing of the new bounding
box 120 begins by the crowd analyzer 60 creating a crowd 132 of one
user for the user. The crowd analyzer 60 then identifies the crowds
126 and 132 as the two closest crowds in the new bounding box 120
and determines a distance between the two crowds 126 and 132. In
this example, the distance between the two crowds 126 and 132 is
less than the optimal inclusion distance of the larger crowd, which
is the crowd 126. As such, the crowd analyzer 60 combines the
crowds 126 and 132 by merging the crowd 132 into the crowd 126, as
illustrated in FIG. 11E. A new crowd center and new optimal
inclusion distance are then computed for the crowd 126. At this
point, the crowd formation process is complete.
[0109] Before proceeding, a variation of the spatial formation
process discussed above with respect to FIGS. 8A through 8D, 9A
through 9D, 10A through 10F, and 11A through 11E will be described.
In this alternative embodiment, a location accuracy of the location
update from the user received in step 1300 is considered. More
specifically, in step 1300, the location update received by the MAP
server 12 includes the updated location of the user 20-1 as well as
a location accuracy for the location of the user 20-1, which may be
expressed as, for example, a radius in meters from the location of
the user 20-1. In the embodiment where the location of the user
20-1 is obtained from a GPS receiver of the mobile device 18-1, the
location accuracy of the location of the user 20-1 may be provided
by the GPS receiver or derived from data from the GPS receiver as
well be appreciated by one having ordinary skill in the art.
[0110] Then, in steps 1302 and 1304, sizes of the new and old
bounding boxes centered at the new and old locations of the user
20-1 are set as a function of the location accuracy of the new and
old locations of the user 20-1. If the new location of the user
20-1 is inaccurate, then the new bounding box will be large. If the
new location of the user 20-1 is accurate, then the new bounding
box will be small. For example, the length and width of the new
bounding box may be set to M times the location accuracy of the new
location of the user 20-1, where the location accuracy is expressed
as a radius in meters from the new location of the user 20-1. The
number M may be any desired number. For example, the number M may
be 5. In a similar manner, the location accuracy of the old
location of the user 20-1 may be used to set the length and width
of the old bounding box.
[0111] In addition, the location accuracy may be considered when
computing the initial optimal inclusion distances used for crowds
of one user in steps 1314 and 1344. As discussed above, the initial
optimal inclusion distance is computed based on the following
equation:
initial_optimal _inclusion _dist = a * A BoundingBox number_of
_users , ##EQU00005##
where a is a number between 0 and 1, A.sub.BoundingBox is an area
of the bounding box, and number_of_users is the total number of
users in the bounding box. The total number of users in the
bounding box includes both individual users that are not already in
a crowd and users that are already in a crowd. In one embodiment, a
is 2/3. However, if the computed initial optimal inclusion distance
is less than the location accuracy of the current location of the
individual user in a crowd, then the location accuracy, rather than
the computed value, is used for the initial optimal inclusion
distance for that crowd. As such, as location accuracy decreases,
crowds become larger and more inclusive. In contrast, as location
accuracy increases, crowds become smaller and less inclusive. In
other words, the granularity with which crowds are formed is a
function of the location accuracy.
[0112] Likewise, when new optimal inclusion distances for crowds
are recomputed in steps 1334 and 1364, location accuracy may also
be considered. As discussed above, the new optimal inclusion
distance may first be computed based on the following equation:
average = 1 n + 1 * ( initial_optimal _inclusion _dist + i - 1 n d
i ) , optimal_inclusion _dist = average + 1 n * i = 1 n ( d i -
average ) 2 , ##EQU00006##
where n is the number of users in the crowd and d.sub.i is a
distance between the ith user and the crowd center. In other words,
the new optimal inclusion distance is computed as the average of
the initial optimal inclusion distance and the distances between
the users in the crowd and the crowd center plus one standard
deviation. However, if the computed value for the new optimal
inclusion distance is less than an average location accuracy of the
users in the crowd, the average location accuracy of the users in
the crowd, rather than the computed value, is used as the new
optimal inclusion distance.
[0113] FIG. 12 illustrates the operation the system 10 of FIG. 1 to
enable the mobile devices 18-1 through 18-N to request crowd data
for currently formed crowds according to one embodiment of the
present disclosure. Note that while in this example the request is
initiated by the MAP application 34-1 of the mobile device 18-1,
this discussion is equally applicable to the MAP applications 34-2
through 34-N of the other mobile devices 18-2 through 18-N. In
addition, in a similar manner, requests may be received from the
third-party applications 36-1 through 36-N. Also, while this
discussion focuses on a request from the mobile device 18-1, the
MAP server 12 may receive and respond to requests from the
subscriber device 22 in a similar manner.
[0114] First, the MAP application 34-1 sends a crowd request to the
MAP client 32-1 (step 1400). The crowd request is a request for
crowd data for crowds currently formed near a specified POI or
within a specified AOI. The crowd request may be initiated by the
user 20-1 of the mobile device 18-1 via the MAP application 34-1 or
may be initiated automatically by the MAP application 34-1 in
response to an event such as, for example, start-up of the MAP
application 34-1, movement of the user 20-1, or the like. In one
embodiment, the crowd request is for a POI, where the POI is a POI
corresponding to the current location of the user 20-1, a POI
selected from a list of POIs defined by the user 20-1, a POI
selected from a list of POIs defined by the MAP application 34-1 or
the MAP server 12, a POI selected by the user 20-1 from a map, a
POI implicitly defined via a separate application (e.g., POI is
implicitly defined as the location of the nearest Starbucks coffee
house in response to the user 20-1 performing a Google search for
"Starbucks"), or the like. If the POI is selected from a list of
POIs, the list of POIs may include static POIs which may be defined
by street addresses or latitude and longitude coordinates, dynamic
POIs which may be defined as the current locations of one or more
friends of the user 20-1, or both. Note that in some embodiments,
the user 20-1 may be enabled to define a POI by selecting a crowd
center of a crowd as a POI, where the POI would thereafter remain
static at that point and would not follow the crowd.
[0115] In another embodiment, the crowd request is for an AOI,
where the AOI may be an AOI of a predefined shape and size centered
at the current location of the user 20-1, an AOI selected from a
list of AOIs defined by the user 20-1, an AOI selected from a list
of AOIs defined by the MAP application 34-1 or the MAP server 12,
an AOI selected by the user 20-1 from a map, an AOI implicitly
defined via a separate application (e.g., AOI is implicitly defined
as an area of a predefined shape and size centered at the location
of the nearest Starbucks coffee house in response to the user 20-1
performing a Google search for "Starbucks"), or the like. If the
AOI is selected from a list of AOIs, the list of AOIs may include
static AOIs, dynamic AOIs which may be defined as areas of a
predefined shape and size centered at the current locations of one
or more friends of the user 20-1, or both. Note that in some
embodiments, the user 20-1 may be enabled to define an AOI by
selecting a crowd such that an AOI is created of a predefined shape
and size centered at the crowd center of the selected crowd. The
AOI would thereafter remain static and would not follow the crowd.
The POI or the AOI of the crowd request may be selected by the user
20-1 via the MAP application 34-1. In yet another embodiment, the
MAP application 34-1 automatically uses the current location of the
user 20-1 as the POI or as a center point for an AOI of a
predefined shape and size.
[0116] Upon receiving the crowd request, the MAP client 32-1
forwards the crowd request to the MAP server 12 (step 1402). Note
that in some embodiments, the MAP client 32-1 may process the crowd
request before forwarding the crowd request to the MAP server 12.
For example, in some embodiments, the crowd request may include
more than one POI or more than one AOI. As such, the MAP client
32-1 may generate a separate crowd request for each POI or each
AOI.
[0117] In response to receiving the crowd request from the MAP
client 32-1, the MAP server 12 identifies one or more crowds
relevant to the crowd request (step 1404). More specifically, in
one embodiment, the crowd analyzer 60 performs a crowd formation
process such as that described above in FIG. 6 to form one or more
crowds relevant to the POI or the AOI of the crowd request. In
another embodiment, the crowd analyzer 60 proactively forms crowds
using a process such as that described above in FIGS. 8A through 80
and stores corresponding crowd records in the datastore 66 of the
MAP server 12. Then, rather than forming the relevant crowds in
response to the crowd request, the crowd analyzer 60 queries the
datastore 66 to identify the crowds that are relevant to the crowd
request. The crowds relevant to the crowd request may be those
crowds within or intersecting a bounding region, such as a bounding
box, for the crowd request. If the crowd request is for a POI, the
bounding region is a geographic region of a predefined shape and
size centered at the POI. If the crowd request is for an AOI, the
bounding region is the AOI.
[0118] Once the crowd analyzer 60 has identified the crowds
relevant to the crowd request, the MAP server 12 generates crowd
data for the identified crowds (step 1406). The crowd data for the
identified crowds may include aggregate profiles for the crowds,
information characterizing the crowds, or both. In addition, the
crowd data may include spatial information defining the locations
of the crowds, the number of users in the crowds, the amount of
time the crowds have been located at or near the POI or within the
AOI of the crowd request, or the like. The MAP server 12 then
returns the crowd data to the MAP client 32-1 (step 1408).
[0119] Upon receiving the crowd data, the MAP client 32-1 forwards
the crowd data to the MAP application 34-1 (step 1410). Note that
in some embodiments the MAP client 32-1 may process the crowd data
before sending the crowd data to the MAP application 34-1. The MAP
application 34-1 then presents the crowd data to the user 20-1
(step 1412). The manner in which the crowd data is presented
depends on the particular implementation of the MAP application
34-1. In one embodiment, the crowd data is overlaid upon a map. For
example, the crowds may be represented by corresponding indicators
overlaid on a map. The user 20-1 may then select a crowd in order
to view additional crowd data regarding that crowd such as, for
example, the aggregate profile of that crowd, characteristics of
that crowd, or the like.
[0120] Note that in one embodiment, the MAP application 34-1 may
operate to roll-up the aggregate profiles for multiple crowds into
a rolled-up aggregate profile for those crowds. The rolled-up
aggregate profile may be the average of the aggregate profiles of
the crowds. For example, the MAP application 34-1 may roll-up the
aggregate profiles for multiple crowds at a POI and present the
rolled-up aggregate profile for the multiple crowds at the POI to
the user 20-1. In a similar manner, the MAP application 34-1 may
provide a rolled-up aggregate profile for an AOI. In another
embodiment, the MAP server 12 may roll-up crowds for a POI or an
AOI and provide the rolled-up aggregate profile in addition to or
as an alternative to the aggregate profiles for the individual
crowds.
[0121] FIGS. 13 through 21 describe aspects of an embodiment of the
present disclosure wherein the crowd analyzer 60 of the MAP server
12 provides a crowd tracking feature. In general, over time, the
crowd analyzer 60 creates a number of crowd snapshots for each
crowd. In addition, in order to accurately track the crowds, the
crowd analyzer 60 captures crowd mergers, captures crowd splits,
and re-establishes crowds, as discussed below in detail. As
discussed below in detail, the crowd snapshots may be utilized when
predicting future locations of the users 20-1 through 20-N.
[0122] FIG. 13 illustrates exemplary data records that may be used
to represent crowds, users, crowd snapshots, and anonymous users
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. As
illustrated, for each crowd created by the crowd analyzer 60 of the
MAP server 12, a corresponding crowd record 134 is created and
stored in the datastore 66 of the MAP server 12. The crowd record
134 for a crowd includes a users field, a North-East (NE) corner
field, a South-West (SW) corner field, a center field, a crowd
snapshots field, a split from field, and a combined into field. The
users field stores a set or list of user records 136 corresponding
to a subset of the users 20-1 through 20-N that are currently in
the crowd. The NE corner field stores a location corresponding to a
NE corner of a bounding box for the crowd. The NE corner may be
defined by latitude and longitude coordinates and optionally an
altitude. Similarly, the SW corner field stores a location of a SW
corner of the bounding box for the crowd. Like the NE corner, the
SW corner may be defined by latitude and longitude coordinates and
optionally an altitude. Together, the NE corner and the SW corner
define a bounding box for the crowd, where the edges of the
bounding box pass through the current locations of the outermost
users in the crowd. The center field stores a location
corresponding to a center of the crowd. The center of the crowd may
be defined by latitude and longitude coordinates and optionally an
altitude. Together, the NE corner, the SW corner, and the center of
the crowd form spatial information defining the location of the
crowd. Note, however, that the spatial information defining the
location of the crowd may include additional or alternative
information depending on the particular implementation. The crowd
snapshots field stores a list of crowd snapshot records 138
corresponding to crowd snapshots for the crowd. As discussed below
in detail, the split from field may be used to store a reference to
a crowd record corresponding to another crowd from which the crowd
split, and the combined into field may be used to store a reference
to a crowd record corresponding to another crowd into which the
crowd has been merged.
[0123] Each of the user records 136 includes an ID field, a
location field, a profile field, a crowd field, and a previous
crowd field. The ID field stores a unique ID for one of the users
20-1 through 20-N for which the user record 136 is stored. The
location field stores the current location of the user, which may
be defined by latitude and longitude coordinates and optionally an
altitude. The profile field stores the user profile of the user,
which may be defined as a list of keywords for one or more profile
categories. The crowd field is used to store a reference to a crowd
record of a crowd of which the user is currently a member. The
previous crowd field may be used to store a reference to a crowd
record of a crowd of which the user was previously a member.
[0124] Each of the crowd snapshot records 138 includes an anonymous
users field, a NE corner field, a SW corner field, a center field,
a sample time field, a vertices field, a crowd size field, and one
or more crowd characteristics fields. The anonymous users field
stores a set or list of anonymous user records 140, which are
anonymized versions of the user records 136 for the users that are
in the crowd at a time the crowd snapshot was created. The NE
corner field stores a location corresponding to a NE corner of a
bounding box for the crowd at the time the crowd snapshot was
created. The NE corner may be defined by latitude and longitude
coordinates and optionally an altitude. Similarly, the SW corner
field stores a location of a SW corner of the bounding box for the
crowd at the time the crowd snapshot was created. Like the NE
corner, the SW corner may be defined by latitude and longitude
coordinates and optionally an altitude. The center field stores a
location corresponding to a center of the crowd at the time the
crowd snapshot was created. The center of the crowd may be defined
by latitude and longitude coordinates and optionally an altitude.
Together, the NE corner, the SW corner, and the center of the crowd
form spatial information defining the location of the crowd at the
time the crowd snapshot was created. Note, however, that the
spatial information defining the location of the crowd at the time
the crowd snapshot was created may include additional or
alternative information depending on the particular implementation.
The sample time field stores a timestamp indicating a time at which
the crowd snapshot was created. The timestamp preferably includes a
date and a time of day at which the crowd snapshot was created. The
vertices field stores locations of users in the crowd at the time
the crowd snapshot was created that define an actual outer boundary
of the crowd (e.g., as a polygon) at the time the crowd snapshot
was created. Note that the actual outer boundary of a crowd may be
used to show the location of the crowd when displayed to a user.
The crowd size field store a size of the crowd (i.e., the number of
users in the crowd) at the time the crowd snapshot was created. The
one or more crowd characteristics fields may store one or more
characteristics of the crowd at the time the crowd snapshot was
created such as, for example, best-case and/or worst-case average
Degree of Separation (DOS) for the crowd, a degree of fragmentation
of the crowd, a degree of bi-directionality of relationship for the
crowd, or the like.
[0125] Each of the anonymous user records 140 includes an anonymous
ID field and a profile field. The anonymous ID field stores an
anonymous user ID, which is preferably a unique user ID that is not
tied, or linked, back to any of the users 20-1 through 20-N and
particularly not tied back to the user or the user record for which
the anonymous user record 140 has been created. In one embodiment,
the anonymous user records 140 for a crowd snapshot record 138 are
anonymized versions of the user records 136 of the users in the
crowd at the time the crowd snapshot was created. The profile field
stores the anonymized user profile of the anonymous user, which may
be defined as a list of keywords for one or more profile
categories. The manner in which the user records 136 are anonymized
to create the anonymous user records 140 is described below in
detail.
[0126] FIGS. 14A through 14D illustrate one embodiment of a spatial
crowd formation process that may be used to enable the crowd
tracking feature. This spatial crowd formation process is
substantially the same as that described above with respect to
FIGS. 8A through 80. As such, some of the details of the process
are not repeated. In this embodiment, the spatial crowd formation
process is triggered in response to receiving a location update for
one of the users 20-1 through 20-N and is preferably repeated for
each location update received for the users 20-1 through 20-N. As
such, first, the crowd analyzer 60 receives a location update, or a
new location, for a user (step 1500). In response, the crowd
analyzer 60 retrieves an old location of the user, if any (step
1502). The crowd analyzer 60 then creates a new bounding box of a
predetermined size centered at the new location of the user (step
1504) and an old bounding box of a predetermined size centered at
the old location of the user, if any (step 1506).
[0127] Next, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether the new and
old bounding boxes overlap (step 1508). If so, the crowd analyzer
60 creates a bounding box encompassing the new and old bounding
boxes (step 1510). The crowd analyzer 60 then determines the
individual users and crowds relevant to the bounding box created in
step 1510 (step 1512). Next, the crowd analyzer 60 computes an
optimal inclusion distance for individual users based on user
density within the bounding box (step 1514). The optimal inclusion
distance may be computed as described above with respect to step
1314 of FIG. 8A.
[0128] The crowd analyzer 60 then creates a crowd of one user for
each individual user within the bounding box established in step
1510 that is not already included in a crowd and sets the optimal
inclusion distance for those crowds to the initial optimal
inclusion distance (step 1516). The crowds created for the
individual users are temporary crowds created for purposes of
performing the crowd formation process. At this point, the process
proceeds to FIG. 14B where the crowd analyzer 60 analyzes the
crowds in the bounding box established in step 1510 to determine
whether any of the crowd members (i.e., users in the crowds)
violate the optimal inclusion distance of their crowds (step 1518).
Any crowd member that violates the optimal inclusion distance of
his or her crowd is then removed from that crowd and the previous
crowd fields in the corresponding user records are set (step 1520).
More specifically, in this embodiment, a member is removed from a
crowd by removing the user record of the member from the set or
list of user records in the crowd record of the crowd and setting
the previous crowd stored in the user record of the user to the
crowd from which the member has been removed. The crowd analyzer 60
then creates a crowd of one user for each of the users removed from
their crowds in step 1520 and sets the optimal inclusion distance
for the newly created crowds to the initial optimal inclusion
distance (step 1522).
[0129] Next, the crowd analyzer 60 determines the two closest
crowds in the bounding box (step 1524) and a distance between the
two closest crowds (step 1526). The crowd analyzer 60 then
determines whether the distance between the two closest crowds is
less than the optimal inclusion distance of a larger of the two
closest crowds (step 1528). If the two closest crowds are of the
same size (i.e., have the same number of users), then the optimal
inclusion distance of either of the two closest crowds may be used.
Alternatively, if the two closest crowds are of the same size, the
optimal inclusion distances of both of the two closest crowds may
be used such that the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether the
distance between the two closest crowds is less than the optimal
inclusion distances of both of the crowds. As another alternative,
if the two closest crowds are of the same size, the crowd analyzer
60 may compare the distance between the two closest crowds to an
average of the optimal inclusion distances of the two crowds.
[0130] If the distance between the two closest crowds is greater
than the optimal inclusion distance, the process proceeds to step
1540. However, if the distance between the two closest crowds is
less than the optimal inclusion distance, the two crowds are merged
(step 1530). The manner in which the two crowds are merged differs
depending on whether the two crowds are pre-existing crowds or
temporary crowds created for the spatial crowd formation process.
If both crowds are pre-existing crowds, one of the two crowds is
selected as a non-surviving crowd and the other is selected as a
surviving crowd. If one crowd is larger than the other, the smaller
crowd is selected as the non-surviving crowd and the larger crowd
is selected as a surviving crowd. If the two crowds are of the same
size, one of the crowds is selected as the surviving crowd and the
other crowd is selected as the non-surviving crowd using any
desired technique. The non-surviving crowd is then merged into the
surviving crowd by adding the set or list of user records for the
non-surviving crowd to the set or list of user records for the
surviving crowd and setting the merged into field of the
non-surviving crowd to a reference to the crowd record of the
surviving crowd. In addition, the crowd analyzer 60 sets the
previous crowd fields of the user records in the set or list of
user records from the non-surviving crowd to a reference to the
crowd record of the non-surviving crowd.
[0131] If one of the crowds is a temporary crowd and the other
crowd is a pre-existing crowd, the temporary crowd is selected as
the non-surviving crowd, and the pre-existing crowd is selected as
the surviving crowd. The non-surviving crowd is then merged into
the surviving crowd by adding the set or list of user records from
the crowd record of the non-surviving crowd to the set or list of
user records in the crowd record of the surviving crowd. However,
since the non-surviving crowd is a temporary crowd, the previous
crowd field(s) of the user record(s) of the user(s) in the
non-surviving crowd are not set to a reference to the crowd record
of the non-surviving crowd. Similarly, the crowd record of the
temporary record may not have a merged into field, but, if it does,
the merged into field is not set to a reference to the surviving
crowd.
[0132] If both the crowds are temporary crowds, one of the two
crowds is selected as a non-surviving crowd and the other is
selected as a surviving crowd. If one crowd is larger than the
other, the smaller crowd is selected as the non-surviving crowd and
the larger crowd is selected as a surviving crowd. If the two
crowds are of the same size, one of the crowds is selected as the
surviving crowd and the other crowd is selected as the
non-surviving crowd using any desired technique. The non-surviving
crowd is then merged into the surviving crowd by adding the set or
list of user records for the non-surviving crowd to the set or list
of user records for the surviving crowd. However, since the
non-surviving crowd is a temporary crowd, the previous crowd
field(s) of the user record(s) of the user(s) in the non-surviving
crowd are not set to a reference to the crowd record of the
non-surviving crowd. Similarly, the crowd record of the temporary
record may not have a merged into field, but, if it does, the
merged into field is not set to a reference to the surviving
crowd.
[0133] Next, the crowd analyzer 60 removes the non-surviving crowd
(step 1532). In this embodiment, the manner in which the
non-surviving crowd is removed depends on whether the non-surviving
crowd is a pre-existing crowd or a temporary crowd. If the
non-surviving crowd is a pre-existing crowd, the removal process is
performed by removing or nulling the users field, the NE corner
field, the SW corner field, and the center field of the crowd
record of the non-surviving crowd. In this manner, the spatial
information for the non-surviving crowd is removed from the
corresponding crowd record such that the non-surviving or removed
crowd will no longer be found in response to spatial-based queries
on the datastore 66. However, the crowd snapshots for the
non-surviving crowd are still available via the crowd record for
the non-surviving crowd. In contrast, if the non-surviving crowd is
a temporary crowd, the crowd analyzer 60 may remove the crowd by
deleting the corresponding crowd record.
[0134] The crowd analyzer 60 also computes a new crowd center for
the surviving crowd (step 1534). Again, a center of mass algorithm
may be used to compute the crowd center of a crowd. In addition, a
new optimal inclusion distance for the surviving crowd is computed
(step 1536). In one embodiment, the new optimal inclusion distance
for the surviving crowd is computed in the manner described above
with respect to step 1334 of FIG. 8B.
[0135] At this point, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether a
maximum number of iterations have been performed (step 1538). If
the maximum number of iterations has not been reached, the process
returns to step 1518 and is repeated until either the distance
between the two closest crowds is not less than the optimal
inclusion distance of the larger crowd or the maximum number of
iterations has been reached. At that point, the crowd analyzer 60
removes crowds with less than three users, or members (step 1540)
and the process ends. As discussed above, in this embodiment, the
manner in which a crowd is removed depends on whether the crowd is
a pre-existing crowd or a temporary crowd. If the crowd is a
pre-existing crowd, a removal process is performed by removing or
nulling the users field, the NE corner field, the SW corner field,
and the center field of the crowd record of the crowd. In this
manner, the spatial information for the crowd is removed from the
corresponding crowd record such that the crowd will no longer be
found in response to spatial-based queries on the datastore 66.
However, the crowd snapshots for the crowd are still available via
the crowd record for the crowd. In contrast, if the crowd is a
temporary crowd, the crowd analyzer 60 may remove the crowd by
deleting the corresponding crowd record. In this manner, crowds
having less than three members are removed in order to maintain
privacy of individuals as well as groups of two users (e.g., a
couple).
[0136] Returning to step 1508 in FIG. 14A, if the new and old
bounding boxes do not overlap, the process proceeds to FIG. 14C and
the bounding box to be processed is set to the old bounding box
(step 1542). In general, the crowd analyzer 60 then processes the
old bounding box in much that same manner as described above with
respect to steps 1512 through 1540. More specifically, the crowd
analyzer 60 determines the individual users and crowds relevant to
the bounding box (step 1544). Again, note that the crowds relevant
to the bounding box are pre-existing crowds resulting from previous
iterations of the spatial crowd formation process. Next, the crowd
analyzer 60 computes an optimal inclusion distance for individual
users based on user density within the bounding box (step 1546).
The optimal inclusion distance may be computed as described above
with respect to step 1344 of FIG. 8C.
[0137] The crowd analyzer 60 then creates a crowd of one user for
each individual user within the bounding box that is not already
included in a crowd and sets the optimal inclusion distance for the
crowds to the initial optimal inclusion distance (step 1548). The
crowds created for the individual users are temporary crowds
created for purposes of performing the crowd formation process. At
this point, the crowd analyzer 60 analyzes the crowds in the
bounding box to determine whether any crowd members (i.e., users in
the crowds) violate the optimal inclusion distance of their crowds
(step 1550). Any crowd member that violates the optimal inclusion
distance of his or her crowd is then removed from that crowd and
the previous crowd fields in the corresponding user records are set
(step 1552). More specifically, in this embodiment, a member is
removed from a crowd by removing the user record of the member from
the set or list of user records in the crowd record of the crowd
and setting the previous crowd stored in the user record of the
user to the crowd from which the member has been removed. The crowd
analyzer 60 then creates a crowd for each of the users removed from
their crowds in step 1552 and sets the optimal inclusion distance
for the newly created crowds to the initial optimal inclusion
distance (step 1554).
[0138] Next, the crowd analyzer 60 determines the two closest
crowds in the bounding box (step 1556) and a distance between the
two closest crowds (step 1558). The distance between the two
closest crowds is the distance between the crowd centers of the two
closest crowds. The crowd analyzer 60 then determines whether the
distance between the two closest crowds is less than the optimal
inclusion distance of a larger of the two closest crowds (step
1560). If the two closest crowds are of the same size (i.e., have
the same number of users), then the optimal inclusion distance of
either of the two closest crowds may be used. Alternatively, if the
two closest crowds are of the same size, the optimal inclusion
distances of both of the two closest crowds may be used such that
the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether the distance between the
two closest crowds is less than the optimal inclusion distances of
both of the two closest crowds. As another alternative, if the two
closest crowds are of the same size, the crowd analyzer 60 may
compare the distance between the two closest crowds to an average
of the optimal inclusion distances of the two closest crowds.
[0139] If the distance between the two closest crowds is greater
than the optimal inclusion distance, the process proceeds to step
1572. However, if the distance between the two closest crowds is
less than the optimal inclusion distance, the two crowds are merged
(step 1562). The manner in which the two crowds are merged differs
depending on whether the two crowds are pre-existing crowds or
temporary crowds created for the spatial crowd formation process.
If both crowds are pre-existing crowds, one of the two crowds is
selected as a non-surviving crowd and the other is selected as a
surviving crowd. If one crowd is larger than the other, the smaller
crowd is selected as the non-surviving crowd and the larger crowd
is selected as a surviving crowd. If the two crowds are of the same
size, one of the crowds is selected as the surviving crowd and the
other crowd is selected as the non-surviving crowd using any
desired technique. The non-surviving crowd is then merged into the
surviving crowd by adding the set or list of user records for the
non-surviving crowd to the set or list of user records for the
surviving crowd and setting the merged into field of the
non-surviving crowd to a reference to the crowd record of the
surviving crowd. In addition, the crowd analyzer 60 sets the
previous crowd fields of the set or list of user records from the
non-surviving crowd to a reference to the crowd record of the
non-surviving crowd.
[0140] If one of the crowds is a temporary crowd and the other
crowd is a pre-existing crowd, the temporary crowd is selected as
the non-surviving crowd, and the pre-existing crowd is selected as
the surviving crowd. The non-surviving crowd is then merged into
the surviving crowd by adding the user records from the set or list
of user records from the crowd record of the non-surviving crowd to
the set or list of user records in the crowd record of the
surviving crowd. However, since the non-surviving crowd is a
temporary crowd, the previous crowd field(s) of the user record(s)
of the user(s) in the non-surviving crowd are not set to a
reference to the crowd record of the non-surviving crowd.
Similarly, the crowd record of the temporary record may not have a
merged into field, but, if it does, the merged into field is not
set to a reference to the surviving crowd.
[0141] If both the crowds are temporary crowds, one of the two
crowds is selected as a non-surviving crowd and the other is
selected as a surviving crowd. If one crowd is larger than the
other, the smaller crowd is selected as the non-surviving crowd and
the larger crowd is selected as a surviving crowd. If the two
crowds are of the same size, one of the crowds is selected as the
surviving crowd and the other crowd is selected as the
non-surviving crowd using any desired technique. The non-surviving
crowd is then merged into the surviving crowd by adding the set or
list of user records for the non-surviving crowd to the set or list
of user records for the surviving crowd. However, since the
non-surviving crowd is a temporary crowd, the previous crowd
field(s) of the user record(s) of the user(s) in the non-surviving
crowd are not set to a reference to the crowd record of the
non-surviving crowd. Similarly, the crowd record of the temporary
record may not have a merged into field, but, if it does, the
merged into field is not set to a reference to the surviving
crowd.
[0142] Next, the crowd analyzer 60 removes the non-surviving crowd
(step 1564). In this embodiment, the manner in which the
non-surviving crowd is removed depends on whether the non-surviving
crowd is a pre-existing crowd or a temporary crowd. If the
non-surviving crowd is a pre-existing crowd, the removal process is
performed by removing or nulling the users field, the NE corner
field, the SW corner field, and the center field of the crowd
record of the non-surviving crowd. In this manner, the spatial
information for the non-surviving crowd is removed from the
corresponding crowd record such that the non-surviving or removed
crowd will no longer be found in response to spatial-based queries
on the datastore 66. However, the crowd snapshots for the
non-surviving crowd are still available via the crowd record for
the non-surviving crowd. In contrast, if the non-surviving crowd is
a temporary crowd, the crowd analyzer 60 may remove the crowd by
deleting the corresponding crowd record.
[0143] The crowd analyzer 60 also computes a new crowd center for
the surviving crowd (step 1566). Again, a center of mass algorithm
may be used to compute the crowd center of a crowd. In addition, a
new optimal inclusion distance for the surviving crowd is computed
(step 1568). In one embodiment, the new optimal inclusion distance
for the surviving crowd is computed in the manner described above
with respect to step 1364 of FIG. 8D.
[0144] At this point, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether a
maximum number of iterations have been performed (step 1570). If
the maximum number of iterations has not been reached, the process
returns to step 1550 and is repeated until either the distance
between the two closest crowds is not less than the optimal
inclusion distance of the larger crowd or the maximum number of
iterations has been reached. At that point, the crowd analyzer 60
removes crowds with less than three users, or members (step 1572).
As discussed above, in this embodiment, the manner in which a crowd
is removed depends on whether the crowd is a pre-existing crowd or
a temporary crowd. If the crowd is a pre-existing crowd, a removal
process is performed by removing or nulling the users field, the NE
corner field, the SW corner field, and the center field of the
crowd record of the crowd. In this manner, the spatial information
for the crowd is removed from the corresponding crowd record such
that the crowd will no longer be found in response to spatial-based
queries on the datastore 66. However, the crowd snapshots for the
crowd are still available via the crowd record for the crowd. In
contrast, if the crowd is a temporary crowd, the crowd analyzer 60
may remove the crowd by deleting the corresponding crowd record. In
this manner, crowds having less than three members are removed in
order to maintain privacy of individuals as well as groups of two
users (e.g., a couple).
[0145] The crowd analyzer 60 then determines whether the crowd
formation process for the new and old bounding boxes is done (step
1574). In other words, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether
both the new and old bounding boxes have been processed. If not,
the bounding box is set to the new bounding box (step 1576), and
the process returns to step 1544 and is repeated for the new
bounding box. Once both the new and old bounding boxes have been
processed, the crowd formation process ends.
[0146] FIG. 15 illustrates a process for creating crowd snapshots
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. In this
embodiment, after the spatial crowd formation process of FIGS. 14A
through 140 is performed in response to a location update for a
user, the crowd analyzer 60 detects crowd change events, if any,
for the relevant crowds (step 1600). The relevant crowds are
pre-existing crowds that are within the bounding region(s)
processed during the spatial crowd formation process in response to
the location update for the user. The crowd analyzer 60 may detect
crowd change events by comparing the crowd records of the relevant
crowds before and after performing the spatial crowd formation
process in response to the location update for the user. The crowd
change events may be a change in the users in the crowd, a change
to a location of one of the users within the crowd, or a change in
the spatial information for the crowd (e.g., the NE corner, the SW
corner, or the crowd center). Note that if multiple crowd change
events are detected for a single crowd, then those crowd change
events are preferably consolidated into a single crowd change
event.
[0147] Next, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether there are any
crowd change events (step 1602). If not, the process ends.
Otherwise, the crowd analyzer 60 gets the next crowd change event
(step 1604) and generates a crowd snapshot for a corresponding
crowd (step 1606). More specifically, the crowd change event
identifies a crowd record stored for a crowd for which the crowd
change event was detected. A crowd snapshot is then created for
that crowd by creating a new crowd snapshot record for the crowd
and adding the new crowd snapshot to the list of crowd snapshots
stored in the crowd record for the crowd.
[0148] In order to create the crowd snapshot for the crowd, the
crowd analyzer 60 anonymizes the user records for the users in the
crowd at the current time (i.e., the time of creating the crowd
snapshot) to provide a set or list of anonymized user records that
is to be stored in the crowd snapshot. Anonymization maintains the
privacy of the users in the crowd. FIG. 16 graphically illustrates
one embodiment of the anonymization process. In this embodiment,
anonymization is performed by creating anonymous user records for
the users in the list of users from the crowd record of the crowd.
The anonymous user records are not connected back to the users 20-1
through 20-N. More specifically, as illustrated in FIG. 16, each
user in the list of users for the crowd has a corresponding user
record 142. The user record 142 includes a unique user identifier
(ID) for the user, the current location of the user, and the user
profile of the user. The user record 142 may include additional
fields such as, for example, a current crowd field and a previous
crowd field, as discussed above with respect to FIG. 13. The user
profile includes keywords for each of a number of profile
categories, which are stored in corresponding profile category
records 144-1 through 144-M. Each of the profile category records
144-1 through 144-M includes a user ID for the corresponding user
which may be the same user ID used in the user record 142, a
category ID, and a list of keywords for the profile category.
[0149] For anonymization, an anonymous user record 146 is created
from the user record 142. In the anonymous user record 146, the
user ID is replaced with a new user ID that is not connected back
to the user, which is also referred to herein as an anonymous user
ID. This new user ID is preferably different than any other user ID
used for anonymous user records created from the user record of the
user for any previous or subsequent crowd snapshots. In this
manner, anonymous user records for a single user created over time
cannot be linked to one another.
[0150] In addition, anonymous profile category records 148-1
through 148-M are created for the profile category records 144-1
through 144-M. In the anonymous profile category records 148-1
through 148-M, the user ID is replaced with a new user ID, which
may be the same new user ID included in the anonymous user record
146. The anonymous profile category records 148-1 through 148-M
include the same category IDs and lists of keywords as the
corresponding profile category records 144-1 through 144-M. Note
that the location of the user is not stored in the anonymous user
record 146. With respect to location, it is sufficient that the
anonymous user record 146 is associated with a crowd snapshot,
which includes spatial information.
[0151] In another embodiment, anonymization is performed in a
manner similar to that described above with respect to FIG. 16.
However, in this embodiment, the profile category records for the
group of users in the crowd at the time of creating the crowd
snapshot may be selectively randomized among the anonymous user
records of those users. In other words, each anonymous user record
would have a user profile including a selectively randomized set of
profile category records (including keywords) from a cumulative
list of profile category records for all of the users in the
crowd.
[0152] In yet another embodiment, rather than creating anonymous
user records 146 for the users in the lists maintained for the
location buckets, anonymization of the user records of the users in
the crowd may be performed by storing an aggregate user profile for
the crowd. The aggregate user profile may include a list of all
keywords and potentially the number of occurrences of each keyword
in the user profiles of the corresponding group of users. In this
manner, the data stored in the crowd snapshot is not connected back
to the users 20-1 through 20-N.
[0153] Returning to FIG. 15, in addition to the anonymized user
records, the crowd snapshot record for the crowd snapshot includes
the NE corner, the SW corner, and the center of the crowd at the
current time as well as a timestamp defining the current time as
the sample time at which the crowd snapshot record was created.
Locations of users in the crowd that define the outer boundary of
the crowd at the current time are stored in the crowd snapshot
record as the vertices of the crowd. Still further, one or more
crowd characteristics of the crowd at the current time are
determined and stored in the crowd snapshot. The crowd
characteristics may include, for example, best-case and/or
worst-case average Degree of Separation (DOS) for the crowd, a
degree of fragmentation of the crowd, a degree of bi-directionality
of relationship for the crowd, or the like. The manner in which
these crowd characteristics are determined is described below in
detail. After creating the crowd snapshot, the crowd analyzer 60
determines whether there are any more crowd change events (step
1608). If so, the process returns to step 1604 and is repeated for
the next crowd change event. Once all of the crowd change events
are processed, the process ends.
[0154] FIG. 17 illustrates a process that may be used to
re-establish crowds and detect crowd splits according to one
embodiment of the present disclosure. In general, in order to
accurately track a crowd, it is preferable to enable crowds that
have been removed to be re-established in the future. For example,
a crowd may be removed as a result of users in the crowd
deactivating their MAP applications (or powering down their mobile
devices). If those users then move together to a different location
and then reactivate their MAP applications (or power on their
mobile devices), it is preferable for the resulting crowd to be
identified as the same crowd that was previously removed. In other
words, it is desirable to re-establish the crowd. In addition, in
order to accurately track a crowd, it is desirable to capture when
the crowd splits into two or more crowds.
[0155] Accordingly, in this embodiment, the spatial crowd formation
process of FIGS. 14A through 14D s performed in response to a
location update for a user. The crowd analyzer 60 then gets a next
relevant crowd (step 1700). The relevant crowds are pre-existing
and new crowds that are within the bounding region(s) processed
during the spatial crowd formation process in response to the
location update for the user. Note that, for the first iteration,
the next relevant crowd is the first relevant crowd. The crowd
analyzer 60 then determines a maximum number of users in the crowd
from a common previous crowd (step 1702). More specifically, the
crowd analyzer 60 examines the previous crowd fields of the user
records of all of the users in the crowd to identify users from a
common previous crowd. For each previous crowd found in the user
records of the users in the crowd, the crowd analyzer 60 counts the
number of users in the crowd that are from that previous crowd. The
crowd analyzer 60 then selects the previous crowd having the
highest number of users, and determines that the number of users
counted for the selected previous crowd is the maximum number of
users in the crowd from a common previous crowd.
[0156] The crowd analyzer 60 then determines whether the maximum
number of users in the crowd from a common previous crowd is
greater than a predefined threshold number of users (step 1704). In
an alternative embodiment, rather than determining the maximum
number of users from a common previous crowd and comparing that
number to a predefined threshold number of users, a maximum
percentage of users in the crowd from a common previous crowd may
be determined and compared to a predefined threshold percentage. If
the maximum number of users in the crowd from a common previous
crowd is not greater than the predefined threshold number of users,
the process proceeds to step 1710. Otherwise, the crowd analyzer 60
determines whether the common previous crowd has been removed (step
1706). If so, then the crowd is re-established as the common
previous crowd (step 1708). More specifically, in this embodiment,
the crowd is re-established as the common previous crowd by storing
the set or list of user records, the NE corner, the SW corner, and
the center from the crowd record of the crowd in the crowd record
of the common previous crowd. The crowd record for the crowd may
then be deleted. In addition, the previous crowd fields of the
users from the common previous crowd may be set to null or
otherwise cleared. Once the common previous crowd is
re-established, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether there are
more relevant crowds to process (step 1710). If so, the process
returns to step 1700 and is repeated until all relevant crowds are
processed.
[0157] Returning to step 1706, if the common previous crowd has not
been removed, the crowd analyzer 60 identifies the crowd as being
split from the common previous crowd (step 1712). More
specifically, in this embodiment, the crowd analyzer 60 stores a
reference to the crowd record of the common previous crowd in the
split from field of the crowd record of the crowd. At this point,
the crowd analyzer 60 then determines whether there are more
relevant crowds to process (step 1710). If so, the process returns
to step 1700 and is repeated until all relevant crowds are
processed, at which time the process ends.
[0158] FIG. 18 graphically illustrates the process of
re-establishing a crowd for an exemplary crowd according to one
embodiment of the present disclosure. As illustrated, at TIME 1,
CROWD A has been formed and a corresponding crowd record has been
created and stored. Between TIME 1 and TIME 2, three users from
CROWD A have moved, thereby resulting in the removal of those three
users from CROWD A as well as the removal of CROWD A. Again, CROWD
A has been removed by removing the set or list of user records and
spatial information from the crowd record for CROWD A. At TIME 2, a
new crowd, CROWD B, has been formed for the three users that were
previously in CROWD A. As such, the previous crowd fields for the
three users now in CROWD B indicate that the three users are from
CROWD A. Using the process of FIG. 17, the crowd analyzer 60
determines that the three users in CROWD B have a common previous
crowd, namely, CROWD A. As a result, the crowd analyzer 60
re-establishes CROWD B as CROWD A, as shown at TIME 2'.
[0159] FIG. 19 graphically illustrates the process for capturing a
crowd split for an exemplary crowd according to one embodiment of
the present disclosure. As Illustrated, at TIME 1, CROWD A has been
formed and a corresponding crowd record has been created and
stored. Between TIME 1 and TIME 2, four users from CROWD A have
separated from the other three users of CROWD A. As a result, a new
crowd, CROWD B, has been formed at TIME 2 for the four users from
CROWD A. Using the process of FIG. 17, the crowd analyzer 60
determines that the four users in CROWD B are all from CROWD A and
therefore identifies CROWD B as being split from CROWD A.
[0160] FIG. 20 graphically illustrates the merging of two exemplary
pre-existing crowds according to one embodiment of the present
disclosure. As discussed above, the merger of crowds is performed
during the spatial crowd formation process of FIGS. 14A through
14D. As illustrated, at TIME 1, CROWD A and CROWD B have been
formed and corresponding crowd records have been created and
stored. Between TIME 1 and TIME 2, CROWD A and CROWD B move close
to one another such that the distance between CROWD A and CROWD B
is less than the optimal inclusion distance(s) at TIME 2. As such,
the crowd analyzer 60 merges CROWD A into CROWD B at TIME 2'. As
part of the merger, CROWD A is removed, and the merged into field
of the crowd record for CROWD A is set to a reference to the crowd
record for CROWD B. In addition, the previous crowd fields in the
user records of the user from CROWD A are set to a reference to the
crowd record of CROWD A.
[0161] FIG. 21 illustrates the operation of the MAP server 12 of
FIG. 1 to serve a request for crowd tracking data for a crowd
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. First, the
subscriber device 22 sends a crowd tracking data request for a
crowd to the MAP server 12 (step 1800). Note that access to crowd
tracking data is preferably a subscription service only available
to subscribers, such as the subscriber 24 at the subscriber device
22, for a subscription fee. The crowd tracking data request
identifies a particular crowd. For example, in one embodiment, the
crowd data for a number of crowds near a POI or within an AOI is
presented to the subscriber 24 at the subscriber device 22 in the
manner described above. The subscriber 24 may then select one of
those crowds and initiate a request for crowd tracking data for the
selected crowd. In response, the subscriber device 22 sends the
crowd tracking data request for the selected crowd to the MAP
server 12.
[0162] In response to receiving the crowd tracking data request,
the MAP server 12, and more specifically the crowd analyzer 60,
obtains relevant crowd snapshots for the crowd (step 1802). In one
embodiment, the crowd tracking data request is a general crowd
tracking data request for the crowd. As such, the relevant crowd
snapshots are all crowd snapshots for the crowd. In another
embodiment, the crowd tracking data request may include one or more
criteria to be used to identify the relevant crowd snapshots. The
one or more criteria may include time-based criteria such that only
those crowd snapshots for the crowd that satisfy the time-based
criteria are identified as the relevant crowd snapshots. For
example, the time-based criteria may define a range of dates such
as Oct. 1, 2009 through Oct. 8, 2009 or define a range of times
within a particular day such as 5 pm through 9 pm on Oct. 1, 2009.
The one or more criteria may additionally or alternatively include
user-based criteria such that only those crowd snapshots including
anonymous users satisfying the user-based criteria are identified
as the relevant crowd snapshots. For example, the user-based
criteria may include one or more interests and a minimum number or
percentage of users such that only those crowd snapshots including
at least the minimum number or percentage of anonymous users having
the one or more interests are identified as the relevant crowd
snapshots. Note that by using user-based criteria, the subscriber
24 is enabled to track sub-crowds within a crowd.
[0163] Next, the crowd analyzer 60 of the MAP server 12 generates
crowd tracking data for the crowd based on the relevant crowd
snapshots (step 1804). The crowd tracking data includes data
indicative of the location of the crowd over time, which can be
determined based on the spatial information and sample times from
the relevant crowd snapshots. In addition, the crowd tracking data
may include an aggregate profile for the crowd for each of the
relevant crowd snapshots or at least some of the relevant crowd
snapshots, an average aggregate profile for all of the relevant
crowd snapshots, an average aggregate profile for a subset of the
relevant crowd snapshots, or average aggregate profiles for a
number of subsets of the relevant crowd snapshots. For example, the
relevant crowd snapshots may be divided into a number of time bands
such that at least some of the time bands include multiple relevant
crowd snapshots. An average crowd snapshot may then be created for
each of the time bands. The crowd analyzer 60 may utilize the
aggregation engine 62 to obtain an aggregate profile for a crowd
snapshot based on the interests of the anonymous users in the crowd
snapshot. More specifically, an aggregate profile for a crowd
snapshot may be computed by comparing the interests of the
anonymous users to one another or by comparing the interests of the
anonymous users to a target profile. The crowd tracking data may
also contain other information derived from the relevant crowd
snapshots such as, for example, the number of users in the relevant
crowd snapshots, crowd characteristics for the crowd for the
relevant crowd snapshots, or the like.
[0164] The crowd analyzer 60 returns the crowd tracking data for
the crowd to the subscriber device 22 (step 1806). Note that in the
embodiment where the subscriber device 22 interacts with the MAP
server 12 via the web browser 40, the MAP server 12 returns the
crowd tracking data to the subscriber device 22 in a format
suitable for use by the web browser 40. For example, the crowd
tracking data may be returned via a web page including a map,
wherein indicators of the location of the crowd over time as
defined by the relevant crowd snapshots may be overlaid upon the
map. The subscriber 24 may then be enabled to select one of those
indicators to view additional information regarding the crowd at
that time such as, for example, an aggregate profile of a
corresponding crowd snapshot of the crowd. Once the crowd tracking
data is received at the subscriber device 22, the crowd tracking
data is presented to the subscriber 24 (step 1808).
[0165] FIGS. 22 through 27 describe the operation of the system 10,
and more specifically the prediction server 26, to predict future
locations of one or more of the users 20-1 through 20-N according
to one embodiment of the present disclosure.
[0166] FIG. 22 illustrates the operation of the prediction server
26 to receive and process a prediction request from the
prediction-consuming application 28 according to one embodiment of
the present disclosure. First, the prediction server 26 generates a
prediction basis for one or more of the users 20-1 through 20-N
(step 1900). Using the user 20-1 as an example, the prediction
basis for the user 20-1 includes crowd data for each of a number of
reoccurring time windows. Specifically, for each reoccurring time
window, the predication basis includes crowd data for one or more,
but preferably multiple, instances of the reoccurring time window.
Further, for each instance of a reoccurring time window, the crowd
data in the prediction basis is crowd data for a crowd in which the
user 20-1 was included during that instance of the reoccurring time
window. The crowd data for an instance of a reoccurring time window
may include a degree of correlation between the user profile of the
user 20-1 and the user profiles of other users in the corresponding
crowd, a degree of correlation of the user profiles of the users in
the corresponding crowd to one another, a crowd size of the
corresponding crowd, and/or one or more crowd characteristics of
the corresponding crowd. The one or more crowd characteristics may
include a best-case average DOS for the corresponding crowd, a
worst-case average DOS for the corresponding crowd, a degree of
fragmentation of the corresponding crowd, a degree of
bidirectionality of relationships for the corresponding crowd, or
the like. Note that generation of the prediction basis for each of
the one or more users is a continuing process that is repeated for
each instance of each of the reoccurring time windows. Also note
that the reoccurring time windows may be the same for all users or
different for different users or different types of users. Further,
the reoccurring time windows may be system-defined or configurable
by the corresponding users 20-1 through 20-N.
[0167] At some point in time, the prediction-consuming application
28 sends a prediction request to the prediction server 26 (step
1902). The prediction request preferably identifies a subject user
for which one or more predicted future locations are desired. The
subject user is one of the users 20-1 through 20-N. In response to
the prediction request, the prediction server 26 generates one or
more predictions based on the prediction basis for the subject user
(step 1904). More specifically, as discussed below in detail, the
prediction server 26 compares at least a subset of relevant crowd
data from the prediction basis of the subject user along with
current crowd data for the subject user to first determine whether
the subject user is likely to move. If so, the prediction server 26
obtains a list of POIs and/or crowds that match or are expected to
match one or more crowd-based criteria derived from the at least a
subset of the relevant crowd data from the prediction basis of the
subject user. The matching POIs and/or locations of the matching
crowds are then provided as predicted future locations for the
subject user. The prediction server 26 then returns the one or more
predicted future locations for the subject user to the
prediction-consuming application 28 (step 1906). The one or more
predicted future locations are then utilized by the
prediction-consuming application 28 to provide a desired service
such as, for example, targeted advertising.
[0168] FIG. 23 illustrates the operation of the prediction server
26 to generate a prediction basis for a user according to one
embodiment of the present disclosure. First, the prediction server
26 determines whether it is time to get crowd data for the
prediction basis of the user (step 2000). As discussed above, the
prediction basis includes crowd data for a number of instances of a
number of reoccurring time windows. In one embodiment, the
prediction server 26 gets crowd data at a predefined time during
each instance of each of the reoccurring time windows. For example,
if the reoccurring time windows are the days of the week, the
prediction server 26 may get crowd data for the user at a
particular time during each day of the week (e.g., 10 A.M., Noon, 2
P.M., 4 P.M., 6 P.M., or the like). As another example, if the
reoccurring time windows are two hour periods during each day of
the week (e.g., 10 A.M.--Noon on Monday, Noon--2 P.M. on Monday,
etc.), the prediction server 26 may get crowd data for the user at
a particular time during each of those reoccurring time windows
(e.g., at the start of each of the reoccurring time windows or at
the end of each of the reoccurring time windows). If it is not time
to get crowd data, the process returns to step 2000 and is
repeated. In implementation, a predetermined time-out period may be
utilized before returning to step 2000.
[0169] Once it is time to get crowd data for one of the reoccurring
time windows, the prediction server 26 gets current crowd data for
the user (step 2002). More specifically, in this embodiment, the
prediction server 26 sends a request to the MAP server 12 for the
current crowd data for the user. In response, the MAP server 12
identifies the crowd in which the user is current included, if any.
The MAP server 12 then obtains crowd data for the identified crowd.
In this embodiment, the crowd data obtained for the crowd includes
a size of the crowd, a degree of correlation between the user
profile of the user and the user profiles of the other users in the
crowd, one or more crowd characteristics of the crowd, or any
combination thereof. Again, the one or more crowd characteristics
may include a best-base average DOS for the crowd, a worst-case
average DOS for the crowd, a degree of fragmentation of the crowd,
a degree of bidirectionality of relationships for the crowd, or the
like. The prediction server 26 then stores the crowd data for the
crowd in the prediction basis for the user as crowd data for an
instance of the corresponding reoccurring time window (step 2004).
For example, if the reoccurring time window is Monday, then the
crowd data is stored as crowd data for one instance (i.e., one
particular Monday) for the reoccurring Monday time window. At this
point, the process returns to step 2000 and is repeated.
[0170] FIG. 24 graphically illustrates an exemplary prediction
basis generated by the prediction server 26 for a user according to
one embodiment of the present disclosure. In this example, the
reoccurring time windows are the days of the week and the crowd
data for each instance of each reoccurring time window has three
components, namely, crowd size, DOS, and degree of correlation of
user profiles for the crowd. As such, the crowd data for each
instance of each reoccurring time window is represented as a point
(i.e., a crowd data point) in 3-Dimensional space where each
component of the crowd data is one dimension. However, the number
of components in the crowd data for each instance of each
reoccurring time window may be any number greater than or equal to
one. As such, the number of dimensions used to represent the crowd
data may vary depending on the number of components in the crowd
data. Note that in FIG. 24, the size of the circles in the graph as
used to show depth such that larger circles are closer to the
origin with respect to the z-axis, which is the axis for DOS.
[0171] As illustrated, the crowd data points for the reoccurring
time window for Thursdays are in a cluster. Specifically, in this
example, the crowd data points for the reoccurring Thursday time
window are clustered around a crowd data point representing a crowd
size of 10, a degree of correction of approximately 0.9 which is a
high degree of correlation, and a DOS of 1. The DOS in FIG. 24 may
be either the best-case average DOS or the worst-case average DOS
for the crowd. As a resulting of the clustering of the crowd data
points for the reoccurring Thursday time window, the prediction
server 26 can predict that the user will likely be in a crowd
having similar crowd data on future Thursdays.
[0172] Similarly, in this example, the crowd data points for the
Saturday reoccurring time window (i.e., Saturdays) are clustered
around a crowd data point representing a crowd size of 1 and a
maximum DOS and minimum correlation, which indicates that the user
is typically alone on Saturdays. Particularly, when the user is not
in a crowd, the corresponding crowd data in the user's prediction
basis may indicate a crowd size of 1, a maximum DOS, and a minimum
correlation. This data may be used by the prediction server 26 to
predict that the user is likely to be alone on future
Saturdays.
[0173] The crowd data points for the other days (i.e., the other
reoccurring time windows) are not clustered in this example.
However, even in this situation, the prediction server 26 may
analyze the crowd data points for each of the days to detect
patterns. For example, the crowd data points for Sundays may
indicate that the user is in a particular type of crowd (e.g.,
large crowd with moderate to high DOS and high correlation) every
other Sunday. This may occur if, for example, the user regularly
attends a church service every other Sunday. This pattern may be
used by the prediction server 26 when predicting future locations
of the user on Sundays.
[0174] FIG. 25 illustrates a process performed by the prediction
server 26 to generate one or more predicted future locations for a
subject user according to one embodiment of the present disclosure.
Specifically, FIG. 25 is a more detailed illustration of one
embodiment of step 1904 of FIG. 22. First, the prediction server 26
obtains current crowd data for a subject user of a prediction
request (step 2100). More specifically, the prediction server 26
sends a request to the MAP server 12 for current crowd data for the
subject user. In response, the MAP server 12 obtains current crowd
data for the subject user and returns the current crowd data to the
prediction server 26. In one embodiment, the MAP server 12
reactively performs the spatial crowd formation process of FIG. 6
for geographic area or bounding region in which the subject user is
currently located. If the subject user is not in a crowd, the MAP
server 12 returns crowd data indicating that the subject user is
not in a crowd to the prediction server 26. If the subject user is
in a crowd, then the MAP server 12 generates crowd data for the
crowd such as, for example, the crowd size of the crowd, a degree
of correlation of the user profile of the subject user to the user
profiles of the other users in the crowd, a degree of correlation
of the user profiles of the users in the crowd to one another, one
or more crowd characteristics of the crowd, or any combination
thereof. Once the MAP server 12 obtains the crowd data for the
current crowd of the subject user, the MAP server 12 returns the
crowd data to the prediction server 26 as the current crowd data of
the subject user.
[0175] In another embodiment, the MAP server 12 proactively forms
crowds using the crowd formation process of FIG. 6, FIGS. 8A
through 8D, or FIGS. 14A through 14D. As such, in this embodiment,
the MAP server 12 queries the datastore 66 to identify the crowd in
which the subject user is currently included, if any. If the
subject user is not currently in a crowd, the MAP server 12 returns
crowd data indicating that the subject user is not in a crowd to
the prediction server 26. If the subject user is currently in a
crowd, the MAP server 12 obtains crowd data for that crowd. Some or
all of the crowd data for the crowd may be proactively generated by
the MAP server 12 and stored in the datastore 66. For example, the
crowd size of the crowd, a degree of correlation between the user
profiles of the users in the crowd (i.e., the degree of correlation
of the user profiles of the users in the crowd to one another),
and/or one or more crowd characteristics of the crowd may be
generated at the time of forming the crowd or creating the most
recent crowd snapshot of the crowd and stored in the datastore 66.
Alternatively, all or a portion of the crowd data for the crowd may
be generated reactively in response to the prediction request. For
example, the MAP server 12 may reactively generate one or more
characteristics of the crowd and/or a correlation between the user
profile of the subject user and the user profiles of the other
users in the crowd. The MAP server 12 then returns the crowd data
to the prediction server 26 as the current crowd data of the
subject user.
[0176] In addition to obtaining the current crowd data for the
subject user, the prediction server 26 obtains relevant crowd data
from the prediction basis of the subject user (step 2102). The
relevant crowd data from the prediction basis is preferably the
crowd data from the prediction basis for the current reoccurring
time window (i.e., the reoccurring time window in which the current
time is included). For example, if it is currently Monday and one
of the reoccurring time windows is Monday, then the relevant crowd
data from the prediction basis is preferably crowd data from the
predication basis for the reoccurring Monday time window (i.e.,
crowd data from the prediction basis for Mondays). Alternatively,
the relevant crowd data from the prediction basis may be the crowd
data from the prediction basis for the immediately following
reoccurring time window. This may be particularly beneficial if the
current time is at or near the end of the current reoccurring time
window.
[0177] Next, the prediction server 26 determines whether the
subject user is likely to move to a new location based on a
comparison of the current crowd data of the subject user and all or
at least a subset of the relevant crowd data from the prediction
basis of the subject user (step 2104). More specifically, in one
embodiment, the prediction server 26 represents the current crowd
data as a crowd data point in n-dimensional space where each
component of the current crowd data (e.g., crowd size, correlation
of user interests, DOS, etc.) corresponds to one dimension in the
n-dimensional space in a manner similar to that illustrated above
in FIG. 24. Likewise, the relevant crowd data from the prediction
basis is represented as a number of crowd data points in the same
n-dimensional space in a manner similar to that illustrated above
in FIG. 24. In one embodiment, if all of the crowd data points
representing the relevant crowd data from the prediction basis are
in a cluster, then all of the crowd data points are used to
determine whether the subject user is likely to move. Crowd data
points are in a cluster if, for example, they are within a
predefined threshold distance from one another in the n-dimensional
space. The prediction server 26 then computes or otherwise
determines a vector magnitude indicative of a difference between
the crowd data point for the current crowd data and the crowd data
points for the relevant crowd data from the prediction basis. In
one embodiment, the crowd data points for the relevant crowd data
from the prediction basis are averaged or otherwise combined (e.g.,
combined via a center of mass calculation) to provide a combined
crowd data point. The prediction server 26 then computes the vector
magnitude of a vector from the crowd data point for the current
crowd data to the combined crowd data point for the relevant crowd
data from the prediction basis. The vector magnitude is compared to
a predefined threshold such that a determination is made that the
subject user is likely to move if the vector magnitude is larger
than the predefined threshold. Otherwise, a determination is made
that the subject user is not likely to move.
[0178] In contrast, if the crowd data points representing the
relevant crowd data from the prediction basis are not in a cluster,
the prediction server 26 may identify a subset of the crowd data
points to be used to determine whether the subject user is likely
to move. For example, the prediction server 26 may process the
crowd data points representing the relevant crowd data from the
prediction basis to identify one or more patterns (e.g., large
crowds with high DOS and high correlation of user interests every
4th instance of the corresponding reoccurring time window). Then,
the prediction server 26 may identify one of the patterns that is
currently applicable and select a subset of the crowd data points
corresponding to the applicable pattern to be used to determine
whether the subject user is likely to move. The prediction server
26 then computes or otherwise determines a vector magnitude
indicative of a difference between the crowd data point for the
current crowd data and the select subset of the crowd data points
for the relevant crowd data from the prediction basis. In one
embodiment, the select subset of the crowd data points for the
relevant crowd data from the prediction basis are averaged or
otherwise combined (e.g., combined via a center of mass
calculation) to provide a combined crowd data point. The prediction
server 26 then computes the vector magnitude of a vector from the
crowd data point for the current crowd data to the combined crowd
data point for the relevant crowd data from the prediction basis.
The vector magnitude is compared to a predefined threshold such
that a determination is made that the subject user is likely to
move if the vector magnitude is larger than the predefined
threshold. Otherwise, a determination is made that the subject user
is not likely to move.
[0179] If a determination is made that the subject user is not
likely to move, the process ends. If a determination is made that
the subject user is likely to move, the prediction server 26
determines one or more crowd criteria descriptive of a type of
crowd in which the subject user is expected to be included based on
the relevant crowd data from the prediction basis of the subject
user (step 2106). The one or more crowd criteria are referred to
herein as expected crowd criteria. More specifically, if the crowd
data points representing the relevant crowd data from the
prediction basis are in a cluster in n-dimensional space, the
prediction server 26 generates expected crowd criteria that either
defines a point in the n-dimensional space about which the crowd
data points are clustered or expected crowd criteria that defines a
n-dimensional volume in the n-dimensional space that encompasses,
or at least substantially encompasses, the crowd data points. The
point in the n-dimensional space about which the crowd data points
are clustered may be computed by averaging the crowd data points,
calculating a center of mass of the crowd data points in the
n-dimensional space, or the like. The volume encompassing the crowd
data points in the n-dimensional space may be computed by, for each
component of the crowd data, determining a range of values defined
by a lowest value for that component of the crowd data found in the
crowd data points and a highest value for that component of the
crowd data found in the crowd data points.
[0180] If the crowd data points representing the relevant crowd
data from the prediction basis are not in a cluster in the
n-dimensional space, the prediction server 26 identifies one or
more patterns in the crowd data points. The prediction server 26
then identifies an applicable pattern and then generates the
expected crowd criteria based on a subset of the crowd data points
that are in the applicable pattern. The subset of the crowd data
points that are in the applicable pattern form a cluster. Again,
the expected crowd criteria may define a point in the n-dimensional
space about which the subset of the crowd data points are clustered
or a volume in the n-dimensional space that encompasses or at least
substantially encompasses the subset of the crowd data points.
[0181] Next, the prediction server 26 obtains a list of matching
POIs and/or matching crowd locations that satisfy or are expected
to satisfy the one or more expected crowd criteria (step 2108).
More specifically, the prediction server 26 sends a request to the
MAP server 12 including the expected crowd criteria from step 2106.
In one embodiment, the MAP server 12 identifies POIs at which
crowds that match the expected crowd criteria are currently
located. In order to identify these matching POIs, the MAP server
12 first identifies POIs within a predefined geographic area around
the current location of the subject user. For example, the MAP
server 12 may first identify POIs within a predefined distance from
the current location of the subject user. For each identified POI,
the MAP server 12 identifies crowds currently at the identified POI
and obtains crowd data for the identified crowds. In one
embodiment, the MAP server 12 reactively generates the crowds at
the identified POIs at this time using, for example, the process of
FIG. 6. In another embodiment, the MAP server 12 proactively
generates crowds using, for example, the process of FIG. 6, FIGS.
8A through 8D, or FIGS. 14A through 14D. In this case, the MAP
server 12 identifies the crowds at the identified POIs by querying
the datastore 66. The MAP server 12 also obtains crowd data for the
identified crowds. The crowd data for the identified crowds may be
generated proactively, reactively, or a combination thereof. For
each of the identified crowds, the MAP server 12 then compares the
crowd data for the crowd to the expected crowd criteria. If the
crowd data for the crowd matches the expected crowd criteria to at
least a predefined threshold degree, then the corresponding POI is
identified as a matching POI and is returned to the prediction
server 26.
[0182] In addition or alternatively, the MAP server 12 may identify
POIs that are expected to have crowds that match the expected crowd
criteria as matching POIs at some future time. More specifically,
the MAP server 12 may first identify POIs within a predefined
geographic area around the current location of the subject user.
For example, the MAP server 12 may first identify POIs within a
predefined distance from the current location of the subject user.
For each identified POI, the MAP server 12 then identifies crowds
that are expected to be at the identified POI within a predefined
amount of time (e.g., on the current day, within the next hour, or
the like). More specifically, in this embodiment, the MAP server 12
may query the datastore 66 to obtain crowd snapshots for crowds
previously located at the identified POI. For each crowd previously
located at the identified POI, the MAP server 12 determines whether
the crowd is expected to be located at the identified POI within
the predefined amount of time based on the crowd snapshots for that
crowd. For example, if it is currently Friday afternoon and the
crowd snapshots for a crowd indicate that the crowd has
historically visited the identified POI every Friday afternoon,
then the prediction server 26 determines that the crowd is expected
to be located at the identified POI. Then, the prediction server 26
obtains crowd data for each crowd identified for the identified
POI. In this embodiment, some if not all of the crowd data for the
crowd is included in the crowd snapshots for the crowd. As such, in
one embodiment, at least some of the crowd data for the crowd is
obtained from a most recent crowd snapshot for the crowd. Further,
the MAP server 12 may generate any desired crowd data that is not
included in the crowd snapshot. For each identified crowd, the MAP
server 12 compares the crowd data for the crowd to the expected
crowd criteria. If the crowd data for the crowd matches the
expected crowd criteria to at least a predefined threshold degree,
then the corresponding POI is identified as a matching POI and is
returned to the prediction server 26. In addition, a time at which
a crowd having crowd data matching the expected crowd criteria is
expected to be at the matching POI may also be returned to the
prediction server 26.
[0183] In addition or as an alternative to identifying matching
POIs, the MAP server 12 may identify locations of current crowds
that match the expected crowd criteria for the subject user. More
specifically, in one embodiment, the MAP server 12 first identifies
crowds within a predefined geographic area around the current
location of the subject user. In one embodiment, the MAP server 12
reactively generates the crowds at this time using, for example,
the process of FIG. 6. In another embodiment, the MAP server 12
proactively generates crowds using, for example, the process of
FIG. 6, FIGS. 8A through 80, or FIGS. 14A through 14D. In this
case, the MAP server 12 identifies the crowds within the predefined
geographic area around the current location of the subject user by
querying the datastore 66. The MAP server 12 also obtains crowd
data for each of the identified crowds. The crowd data for the
identified crowds may be generated proactively, reactively, or a
combination thereof. For each of the identified crowds, the MAP
server 12 compares the crowd data for the crowd to the expected
crowd criteria. If the crowd data for the crowd matches the
expected crowd criteria to at least a predefined threshold degree,
then the location of the crowd is identified as a matching crowd
location and is returned to the prediction server 26.
[0184] In addition or alternatively, the MAP server 12 may identify
crowd locations of crowds that are expected to match the expected
crowd criteria for the subject user at some future time. More
specifically, the MAP server 12 may first identify crowds that are
currently within a predefined geographic area around the current
location of the subject user. In this embodiment, the MAP server 12
proactively forms crowds and provides the crowd tracking feature
described above. As such, the MAP server 12 queries the datastore
66 to identify the crowds that are currently within the predefined
geographic area. For each identified crowd, the MAP server 12
analyzes historical crowd data for the crowd included in the crowd
snapshots for the crowd to determine whether the crowd is expected
to satisfy the expected crowd criteria for the subject user within
a predefined amount of time (e.g., on the current day, within the
next hour, or the like). For example, if it is currently Friday
morning and the crowd snapshots for a crowd indicate that the crowd
data for the crowd has historically matched the expected crowd
criteria for the subject user to at least the predefined threshold
degree on Friday afternoons, then the crowd is identified as a
matching crowd. The current location of the matching crowd is
returned to the prediction server 26 as a matching crowd location.
In addition, a time at which the crowd data of the matching crowd
is expected to match the expected crowd criteria may also be
returned to the prediction server 26.
[0185] Lastly, the prediction server 26 generates a prediction for
movement to the one or more matching POIs and/or matching crowd
locations for the subject user (step 2110). More specifically, in
one embodiment, the prediction server 26 receives a list of
matching POIs and/or matching crowd locations from the MAP server
12. The prediction server 26 then ranks the matching POIs and/or
matching crowd locations based on one or more ranking criteria. The
ranking criteria may include, for example, distance of the matching
POI or matching crowd location from the subject user, amount of
time until the expected crowd criteria are satisfied which is
particularly applicable for matching POI or matching crowd
locations that are expected to match the expected crowd criteria in
the future, or previous actions of the subject user. For example,
if the subject user has previously indicated that he does not like
particular types of POIs (e.g., bars), the prediction server 26 may
assign any matching POIs that are bars a low ranking or remove them
as predictions. At this point, the prediction server 26 returns the
predictions to the requestor, which for this example is the
prediction-consuming application 28.
[0186] FIG. 26 illustrates the operation of the prediction server
26 to receive and process a prediction request from the
prediction-consuming application 28 according to another embodiment
of the present disclosure. First, the prediction server 26
generates a prediction basis for one or more of the users 20-1
through 20-N, as described above (step 2200). At some point in
time, the prediction-consuming application 28 sends a prediction
request to the prediction server 26 (step 2202). The prediction
request preferably identifies a subject user for which one or more
predicted future locations are desired. In this example, the
subject user is the user 20-1. In response to the prediction
request, the prediction server 26 generates one or more predictions
based on the prediction basis for the user 20-1 in the manner
described above (step 2204). However, in this embodiment, the
prediction server 26 then sends the predictions (i.e., the
predicted future locations of the user 20-1) to the mobile device
18-1 of the user 20-1 for confirmation (step 2206).
[0187] In response, the mobile device 18-1 then operates to confirm
the predictions (step 2208). More specifically, in one embodiment,
the mobile device 18-1 confirms the predictions by ranking or
sorting the predictions based on one or more local criteria (e.g.,
rules or parameters). The local criteria may require input from the
user 20-1 or may enable the mobile device to confirm the
predictions automatically. For example, the local criteria may
indicate that the user 20-1 is to manually rank the predictions. As
another example, the local criteria may indicate that the mobile
device 18-1 is to automatically rank the predications based on a
historical record of the location of the user 20-1 stored at the
mobile device 18-1. For instance, predictions for POIs that the
user 20-1 has frequently visited in the past may be assigned a high
ranking whereas predictions for POIs that the user 20-1 has never
visited or rarely visits may be assigned a low ranking. In yet
another example, contextual information regarding the user 20-1 or
the mobile device 18-1 is taken in to account in automatically
determining the rankings of the predictions. The contextual
information may include other users in proximity to the user 20-1,
current activity of the user 20-1, time of day, location, and the
like. For instance, when the user 20-1 is with a certain friend, he
has a high likelihood to visit a specific POI. The user 20-1 may
also be enabled to remove or delete predictions. Still further, if
confirmation is manually performed by the user 20-1, the user 20-1
may be enabled to input a reason for a high or low ranking of a POI
or crowd location.
[0188] Once confirmation is complete, the mobile device 18-1
returns confirmation to the prediction server 26 (step 2210). The
confirmation preferably includes a list of confirmed predictions
including revised rankings and, optionally, reasons for at least
some of the rankings. The reasons for the rankings may thereafter
be used by the prediction server 26 to refine future predictions.
The prediction server 26 then returns the confirmed predictions to
the prediction-consuming application 28 (step 2212). The confirmed
predictions are then utilized by the prediction-consuming
application 28 to provide a desired service such as, for example,
targeted advertising.
[0189] FIGS. 27-36 illustrate the operation of the MAP server 12 to
generate crowd data for crowds according to various embodiments of
the present disclosure. As described above, the MAP server 12 may
generate the crowd data for a crowd at various times during
operation depending on the particular implementation. Specifically,
the MAP server 12 may generate crowd data at the time of crowd
formation, at the time of creating a crowd snapshot, and/or in
response to a request for or that requires crowd data. As discussed
above, the crowd data is used by the MAP server 12 and the
prediction server 26 in order to predict the future locations of
the users 20-1 through 20-N.
[0190] FIG. 27 is a flow chart illustrating the operation of the
MAP server 12 to determine a degree of correlation of a user
profile of a subject user and user profiles of the users in a crowd
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. In this
embodiment, the aggregation engine 62 selects the next user in the
crowd (step 2300). For the first iteration, the next user in the
crowd is the first user in the crowd. Next, the aggregation engine
62 compares the user profile of the user in the crowd to the user
profile of the subject user (i.e., the user for which predicted
locations are desired) (step 2302). When comparing the user profile
of the user in the crowd to the user profile of the subject user,
the aggregation engine 62 identifies matches between the user
profile of the user in the crowd and the user profile of the
subject user. In one embodiment, the user profiles are expressed as
keywords in a number of profile categories. The aggregation engine
62 may then make a list of keywords from the user profile of the
user in the crowd that match keywords in user profile of the
subject user. Next, the aggregation engine 62 determines whether
there are more users in the crowd (step 2304). If so, the process
returns to step 2300 and is repeated for the next user in the
crowd. Note that, if the subject user is in the crowd, the
aggregation engine 62 only compares the user profile of the subject
user to the user profiles of the other users in the crowd and does
not compare the user profile of the subject user to itself.
[0191] Once all of the users in the crowd have been processed, the
aggregation engine 62 generates a degree of correlation of between
the user profile of the subject user and the user profiles of the
users in the crowd (step 2306). In one embodiment, the degree of
correlation is a ratio of the number of user matches to the total
number of users in the crowd. The number of user matches is a
number of users in the crowd having at least one keyword in their
user profile that matches a keyword in the user profile of the
subject user. In another embodiment, the degree of correlation is a
ratio of the number of user matches to the total number of users in
the crowd for each individual keyword in the user profile of the
subject user. In another embodiment, the degree of correlation may
be computed based on the number of user matches for each individual
keyword in the user profile of the subject user and weights
assigned to the individual keywords. The keyword weights may be
assigned by the subject user.
[0192] Note that while the process of FIG. 27 generates the degree
of correlation between the user profile of the subject user and the
user profile of the users in the crowd, a similar process may be
used to generate a degree of correlation of the user profiles in
the crowd to one another. Specifically, the user profiles of the
users in the crowd would be compared to one another. The degree of
correlation of the user profiles in the crowd may then be expressed
as a ratio of a number of user matches to the total number of users
in the crowd. Here, the number of user matches is the number of
users in the crowd having at least one keyword in their user
profiles that match at least one keyword in the user profile of
another user in the crowd. In another embodiment, the degree of
correlation may be expressed as a ratio of the number of user
matches to the total number of users in the crowd for each
individual keyword appearing in any of the user profiles of the
users in the crowd.
[0193] FIG. 28 is a flow chart illustrating a process by which the
MAP server 12 determines a degree of fragmentation of a crowd
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. In this
embodiment, a spatial crowd fragmentation process is used. First,
the crowd analyzer 60 creates a crowd fragment of one user for each
user in a crowd (step 2400). Next, the crowd analyzer 60 determines
the two closest crowd fragments in the crowd (step 2402) and a
distance between the two closest crowd fragments (step 2404). The
distance between the two closest crowd fragments is the distance
between the crowd fragment centers of the two closest crowd
fragments. The crowd fragment center for a crowd fragment having
only one user is the current location of that one user.
[0194] The crowd analyzer 60 then determines whether the distance
between the two closest crowd fragments is less than an optimal
inclusion distance for a crowd fragment (step 2406). In one
embodiment, the optimal inclusion distance for a crowd fragment is
a predefined static value. In another embodiment, the optimal
inclusion distance of the crowd may vary. As such, the optimal
inclusion distance for a crowd fragment within the crowd may be
defined as a fraction of the optimal inclusion distance of the
crowd such that the optimal inclusion distance for a crowd fragment
within the crowd varies along with the optimal inclusion distance
for the crowd itself.
[0195] If the distance between the two closest crowd fragments is
less than the optimal inclusion distance for a crowd fragment, then
the two closest crowd fragments are combined (step 2408) and a new
crowd fragment center is computed for the resulting crowd fragment
(step 2410). The crowd fragment center may be computed using, for
example, a center of mass algorithm. At this point the process
returns to step 2402 and is repeated. Once the two closest crowd
fragments in the crowd are separated by more than the optimal
inclusion distance for a crowd fragment, the process ends. At this
point, the crowd analyzer 60 has created the crowd fragments or
defined the crowd fragments for the crowd. The crowd data for the
crowd may then include the degree of fragmentation of the crowd,
which may be provided as the number of crowd fragments in the crowd
and/or an average number of users per crowd fragment as the degree
of fragmentation of the crowd.
[0196] FIGS. 29A and 29B graphically illustrate the spatial crowd
fragmentation process of FIG. 28 for an exemplary crowd 150 having
bounding box 152. FIG. 29A illustrates the crowd 150 before spatial
crowd fragmentation. FIG. 29B illustrates the crowd 150 after
spatial crowd fragmentation. As illustrated, after spatial crowd
fragmentation, the crowd 150 includes a number of crowd fragments
154 through 162. As such, the crowd 150 has a degree of
fragmentation of five crowd fragments with an average of
approximately 2 users per crowd fragment. Thus, the crowd 150 has a
moderately high degree of fragmentation. The highest degree of
fragmentation for the crowd 150 would be to have eleven crowd
fragments with an average of one user per crowd fragment. The
lowest degree of fragmentation for the crowd 150 would be to have
one crowd fragment with an average of eleven users per crowd
fragment.
[0197] FIG. 30 is a flow chart illustrating a process by which the
MAP server 12 determines a degree of fragmentation of a crowd
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. In this
embodiment, a connectivity-based crowd fragmentation process is
used. First, the crowd analyzer 60 creates a crowd fragment for
each user in the crowd (step 2500). Next, the crowd analyzer 60
selects a next pair of crowd fragments in the crowd (step 2502) and
then selects one user from each of those crowd fragments (step
2504). The crowd analyzer 60 then determines a DOS between the
users from the pair of crowd fragments (step 2506). More
specifically, as will be appreciated by one of ordinary skill in
the art, DOS is a measure of the degree to which the two users are
related in a social network (e.g., the Facebook.RTM. social
network, the MySpace.RTM. social network, or the Linked IN.RTM.
social network). The two users have a DOS of one if one of the
users is a friend of the other user, a DOS of two if one of the
users is a friend of a friend of the other user, a DOS of three if
one of the users is a friend of a friend of a friend of the other
user, etc. If the two users are not related in a social network or
have an unknown DOS, the DOS for the two users is set to a value
equal to or greater than the maximum DOS for a crowd fragment.
[0198] The crowd analyzer 60 then determines whether the DOS
between the two users is less than a predefined maximum DOS for a
crowd fragment (step 2508). For example, the predefined maximum DOS
may be three. However, other maximum DOS values may be used to
achieve the desired crowd fragmentation. If the DOS between the two
users is not less than the predefined maximum DOS, the process
proceeds to step 2516. If the DOS between the two users is less
than the predefined maximum DOS, the crowd analyzer 60 determines
whether a bidirectionality requirement is satisfied (step 2510).
The bidirectionality requirement specifies whether the relationship
between the two users must be bidirectional (i.e., the first user
must directly or indirectly know the second user and the second
user must directly or indirectly know the first user).
Bidirectionality may or may not be required depending on the
particular embodiment. If the two users satisfy the
bidirectionality requirement, the crowd analyzer 60 combines the
pair of crowd fragments (step 2512) and computes a new crowd
fragment center for the resulting crowd fragment (step 2514). The
process then returns to step 2502 and is repeated for a next pair
of crowd fragments. If the two users do not satisfy the
bidirectionality requirement, the process proceeds to step
2516.
[0199] At this point, whether proceeding from step 2508 or step
2510, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether all user pairs from
the two crowd fragments have been processed (step 2516). If not,
the process returns to step 2504 and is repeated for a new pair of
users from the two crowd fragments. If all user pairs from the two
crowd fragments have been processed, the crowd analyzer 60 then
determines whether all crowd fragments have been processed (step
2518). If not, the process returns to step 2502 and is repeated
until all crowd fragments have been processed. Once this process is
complete, the crowd analyzer 60 has determined the number of crowd
fragments in the crowd. The crowd data for the crowd may then
include the degree of fragmentation of the crowd, which may be
provided as the number of crowd fragments and/or the average number
of users per crowd fragment.
[0200] FIGS. 31A and 31B graphically illustrate the
connectivity-based crowd fragmentation process of FIG. 30. FIG. 31A
illustrates a crowd 164 having a number of users and a bounding box
166. FIG. 31B illustrates the crowd 164 after the
connectivity-based crowd fragmentation process has been performed.
As illustrated, there are three crowd fragments resulting from the
connectivity-based crowd fragmentation process. Namely, crowd
fragment A has four users marked as "A," crowd fragment B has five
users marked as "B," and crowd fragment C has three users marked as
"C." As illustrated, the users in a particular crowd fragment may
not be close to one another spatially since, in this embodiment,
there is no spatial requirement for users of the crowd fragment
other than that the users of the crowd fragment are in the same
crowd.
[0201] FIG. 32 is a flow chart illustrating a process by which the
MAP server 12 determines a degree of fragmentation of a crowd
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. In this
embodiment, a recursive crowd fragmentation process that uses both
spatial crowd fragmentation and connectivity-based crowd
fragmentation is used. First, the crowd analyzer 60 performs a
spatial crowd fragmentation process to create a number of crowd
fragments for a crowd (step 2600). The spatial crowd fragmentation
process may be the spatial crowd fragmentation process of FIG. 28.
The crowd analyzer 60 then selects a next crowd fragment of the
crowd fragments created for the crowd (step 2602). Next, the crowd
analyzer 60 performs a connectivity-based crowd fragmentation
process to create a number of sub-fragments for the crowd fragment
of the crowd (step 2604). The connectivity-based crowd
fragmentation process may be the connectivity-based crowd
fragmentation process of FIG. 30. The crowd analyzer 60 then
determines whether the last crowd fragment of the crowd has been
processed (step 2606). If not, the process returns to step 2602 and
is repeated until the last crowd fragment of the crowd has been
processed. At that point, the process is complete. The crowd data
for the crowd may then include the degree of fragmentation for the
crowd and the number of sub-fragments and/or the average number of
users per sub-fragment for each crowd fragment.
[0202] FIG. 33 is a flow chart illustrating a process by which the
MAP server 12 determines a degree of fragmentation of a crowd
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. In this
embodiment, a recursive crowd fragmentation process that uses both
spatial crowd fragmentation and connectivity-based crowd
fragmentation is used. First, the crowd analyzer 60 performs a
connectivity-based crowd fragmentation process to create a number
of crowd fragments for a crowd (step 2700). The connectivity-based
crowd fragmentation process may be the connectivity-based crowd
fragmentation process of FIG. 30. The crowd analyzer 60 then
selects a next crowd fragment of the crowd fragments created for
the crowd (step 2702). Next, the crowd analyzer 60 performs a
spatial crowd fragmentation process to create a number of
sub-fragments for the crowd fragment of the crowd (step 2704). The
spatial crowd fragmentation process may be the spatial crowd
fragmentation process of FIG. 28. The crowd analyzer 60 then
determines whether the last crowd fragment of the crowd has been
processed (step 2706). If not, the process returns to step 2702 and
is repeated until the last crowd fragment of the crowd has been
processed. At that point, the process is complete. The crowd data
for the crowd may then include the degree of fragmentation for the
crowd and the number of sub-fragments and/or an average number of
users per sub-fragment for each crowd fragment.
[0203] FIG. 34 is a flow chart for a process for determining a
best-case and worst-case average DOS for a crowd according to one
embodiment of the present disclosure. The crowd analyzer 60 counts
the number of 1 DOS, 2 DOS, . . . , M DOS relationships in a crowd
(step 2800) and the number of user pairs in the crowd for which
explicit relationships are not defined or known (step 2802). More
specifically, for each pair of users in the crowd, the crowd
analyzer 60 determines the DOS between the pair of users if the DOS
between the pair of user is known or determines that the DOS
between the pair of users is not defined or known if the DOS
between the pair of users is in fact not defined or known. Based on
these determinations, the crowd analyzer 60 counts the number of
user pairs having a DOS of 1, the number of user pairs having a DOS
of 2, etc. In addition, the crowd analyzer 60 counts the number of
user pairs for which no relationship is defined or known.
[0204] The crowd analyzer 60 then computes a best-case average DOS
for the crowd using a best-case DOS for the user pairs in the crowd
for which explicit relationships are not defined (step 2804). In
this embodiment, the best-case average DOS is 1. The best-case
average DOS may computed as:
Average D O S BestCase = i - 1 M ( i D O S count i ) + D O S
BestCase Num_Unknown i = 1 M ( DOS_count i ) + Num_Unknown ,
##EQU00007##
where AverageDOS.sub.Bestcase is the best-case average DOS for the
crowd, DOS_count.sub.i is the number of user pairs for the ith DOS,
DOS.sub.Bestcase is the best-case DOS, and Num_Unknown is the
number of user pairs for which a relationship is not defined or is
unknown
[0205] The crowd analyzer 60 also computes the worst-case average
DOS for the crowd using a worst-case DOS for the user pairs in the
crowd for which explicit relationships are not defined (step 2806).
In this embodiment, the worst-case DOS is a greatest possible DOS
that the crowd analyzer 60 considers, which may be, for example, a
DOS of greater than or equal to 7. For instance, the worst-case DOS
may be 10. However, other values for the worst-case DOS may be
used. The worst-case average DOS may computed as:
Average D O S WorstCase = i - 1 M ( i D O S count i ) + D O S
WorstCase Num_Unknown i = 1 M ( DOS_count i ) + Num_Unknown ,
##EQU00008##
where AverageDOS.sub.WorstCase is the worst-case average DOS for
the crowd, DOS_count.sub.i is the number of user pairs for the ith
DOS, DOS.sub.WorstCase is the worst-case DOS, and Num_Unknown is
the number of user pairs for which a relationship is not defined or
is unknown. The best-case average DOS and the worst-case average
DOS for the crowd may be included in the crowd data for the
crowd.
[0206] FIG. 35 is a flow chart for illustrating the operation of
the MAP server 12 to determine a degree of bidirectionality of
relationships between users in a crowd according to one embodiment
of the present disclosure. First, the crowd analyzer 60 selects the
next user in a crowd, which for the first iteration is the first
user in the crowd (step 2900). The crowd analyzer 60 then selects
the next friend of the user (step 2902). Note that friends of the
users 20-1 through 20-N may have been previously been obtained from
the one or more profile servers 14 along with the user profiles of
the users 20-1 through 20-N and provided to the MAP server 12. The
crowd analyzer 60 then determines whether the friend of the user is
a member of the crowd (step 2904). If not, the process proceeds to
step 2912. If the friend of the user is a member of the crowd, the
crowd analyzer 60 increments a connection count (step 2906). In
addition, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether the relationship
between the user and the friend is bidirectional (step 2908). In
other words, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether the user is
also a friend of that friend. If not, the process proceeds to step
2912. If so, the crowd analyzer 60 increments a bidirectional count
(step 2910).
[0207] At this point, whether proceeding from step 2904, step 2908,
or step 2910, the crowd analyzer 60 determines whether the user has
more friends to process (step 2912). If so, the process returns to
step 2902 and is repeated for the next friend of the user. Once all
of the friends of the user have been processed, the crowd analyzer
60 determines whether there are more users in the crowd fragment
(step 2914). If so, the process returns to step 2900 and is
repeated for the next user in the crowd fragment. Once steps 2902
through 2912 have been performed for all of the users in the crowd
fragment, the crowd analyzer 60 computes a ratio of the
bidirectional count (i.e., the number of bidirectional friend
relationships) over the connection count (i.e., the number of
unidirectional and bidirectional friend relationships) for the
crowd fragment (step 2916). At this point, the process ends. In
this embodiment, the ratio of the bidirectionality count to the
connection count reflects the degree of bidirectionality of
friendship relationships for the crowd fragment and may be included
in the crowd data for the crowd.
[0208] FIG. 36 is a block diagram of the MAP server 12 according to
one embodiment of the present disclosure. As illustrated, the MAP
server 12 includes a controller 168 connected to memory 170, one or
more secondary storage devices 172, and a communication interface
174 by a bus 176 or similar mechanism. The controller 168 is a
microprocessor, digital Application Specific Integrated Circuit
(ASIC), Field Programmable Gate Array (FPGA), or the like. In this
embodiment, the controller 168 is a microprocessor, and the
application layer 42, the business logic layer 44, and the object
mapping layer 64 (FIG. 2) are implemented in software and stored in
the memory 170 for execution by the controller 168. Further, the
datastore 66 (FIG. 2) may be implemented in the one or more
secondary storage devices 172. The secondary storage devices 172
are digital data storage devices such as, for example, one or more
hard disk drives. The communication interface 174 is a wired or
wireless communication interface that communicatively couples the
MAP server 12 to the network 30 (FIG. 1). For example, the
communication interface 174 may be an Ethernet interface, local
wireless interface such as a wireless interface operating according
to one of the suite of IEEE 802.11 standards, or the like.
[0209] FIG. 37 is a block diagram of the mobile device 18-1
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. This
discussion is equally applicable to the other mobile devices 18-2
through 18-N. As illustrated, the mobile device 18-1 includes a
controller 178 connected to memory 180, a communication interface
182, one or more user interface components 184, and the location
function 38-1 by a bus 186 or similar mechanism. The controller 178
is a microprocessor, digital ASIC, FPGA, or the like. In this
embodiment, the controller 178 is a microprocessor, and the MAP
client 32-1, the MAP application 34-1, and the third-party
applications 36-1 are implemented in software and stored in the
memory 180 for execution by the controller 178. In this embodiment,
the location function 38-1 is a hardware component such as, for
example, a GPS receiver. The communication interface 182 is a
wireless communication interface that communicatively couples the
mobile device 18-1 to the network 30 (FIG. 1). For example, the
communication interface 182 may be a local wireless interface such
as a wireless interface operating according to one of the suite of
IEEE 802.11 standards, a mobile communications interface such as a
cellular telecommunications interface, or the like. The one or more
user interface components 184 include, for example, a touchscreen,
a display, one or more user input components (e.g., a keypad), a
speaker, or the like, or any combination thereof.
[0210] FIG. 38 is a block diagram of the subscriber device 22
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. As
illustrated, the subscriber device 22 includes a controller 188
connected to memory 190, one or more secondary storage devices 192,
a communication interface 194, and one or more user interface
components 196 by a bus 198 or similar mechanism. The controller
188 is a microprocessor, digital ASIC, FPGA, or the like. In this
embodiment, the controller 188 is a microprocessor, and the web
browser 40 (FIG. 1) is implemented in software and stored in the
memory 190 for execution by the controller 188. The one or more
secondary storage devices 192 are digital storage devices such as,
for example, one or more hard disk drives. The communication
interface 194 is a wired or wireless communication interface that
communicatively couples the subscriber device 22 to the network 30
(FIG. 1). For example, the communication interface 194 may be an
Ethernet interface, local wireless interface such as a wireless
interface operating according to one of the suite of IEEE 802.11
standards, a mobile communications interface such as a cellular
telecommunications interface, or the like. The one or more user
interface components 196 include, for example, a touchscreen, a
display, one or more user input components (e.g., a keypad), a
speaker, or the like, or any combination thereof.
[0211] FIG. 39 is a block diagram of the prediction server 26
according to one embodiment of the present disclosure. As
illustrated, the prediction server 26 includes a controller 200
connected to memory 202, one or more secondary storage devices 204,
a communication interface 206, and one or more user interface
components 208 by a bus 210 or similar mechanism. The controller
200 is a microprocessor, digital ASIC, FPGA, or the like. In this
embodiment, the controller 200 is a microprocessor, and software
instructing the controller 200 to perform the prediction process
described herein is stored in the memory 202 for execution by the
controller 200. The one or more secondary storage devices 204 are
digital storage devices such as, for example, one or more hard disk
drives. The communication interface 206 is a wired or wireless
communication interface that communicatively couples the prediction
server 26 to the network 30 (FIG. 1). For example, the
communication interface 206 may be an Ethernet interface, local
wireless interface such as a wireless interface operating according
to one of the suite of IEEE 802.11 standards, a mobile
communications interface such as a cellular telecommunications
interface, or the like. The one or more user interface components
208 include, for example, a touchscreen, a display, one or more
user input components (e.g., a keypad), a speaker, or the like, or
any combination thereof.
[0212] Those skilled in the art will recognize improvements and
modifications to the preferred embodiments of the present
invention. All such improvements and modifications are considered
within the scope of the concepts disclosed herein and the claims
that follow.
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